Emma Raducanu vs Naomi Osaka — Washington Round of 16

Washington · WTA · Round of 16
Emma Raducanu
GBR
Emma Raducanu
#33WTA
1834ELO
1773Hard ELO
$605kYTD
$6.6MCAREER
23 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 21 July 2025
hard
Naomi Osaka
JPN
Naomi Osaka
#14WTA
1987ELO
1922Hard ELO
$1.1MYTD
$26MCAREER
28 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWW
Raducanu E.
6-4 6-2
Osaka N.
Raducanu E.
662
Osaka N.
420

Emma Raducanu defeated Naomi Osaka 6-4 6-2 in the Washington round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Naomi Osaka came in ranked #14.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Raducanu E.serving73% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Osaka N.

Osaka N.serving79% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Raducanu E.

Serve advantage — Osaka N.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Raducanu E.Osaka N.
32
Serve
70
54
Return
60

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Raducanu E.Osaka N.
1st serve in·Slight edge
65%
58%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
64%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
44%
48%
Service points won·Slight edge
57%
62%
Return points won·Even
45%
43%
Break points saved·Even
58%
60%
Aces / match·Dominant
3.0
6.7
Double faults / match·Even
3.3
3.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (60 vs 51). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Raducanu E.Osaka N.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
64
91
Break points saved·Even
96
96
Break points won·Even
99
97
Deciding sets·Dominant
29
99
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
83
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Raducanu E.
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Osaka N.
7.2
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.4Hard Elo 1773
Surface ELO
6.6+149 Hard Elo edge
3.5Overall Elo 1834
ELO gap
6.5Overall Elo 1987
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
5.7
Surface form
7.1
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
5.6
Country comfort
6.2
7.0
Surface transition
7.0
Context
7.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Raducanu E.Osaka N.
Freshness·
—
79

Osaka N.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 44 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
27°CDrizzle
Wind 0 km/hHumidity 65%

Draw

Final
Fernandez L.
Kalinskaya A.
6-16-2
Semi-finals
Fernandez L.
Rybakina E.[3]
6-727-637-63
Kalinskaya A.
Raducanu E.
6-46-3
Quarter-finals
Kalinskaya A.
Tauson C.[4]
6-37-5
Fernandez L.
Townsend T.
6-47-64
Rybakina E.[3]
Frech M.[5]
6-36-3
Raducanu E.
Sakkari M.
6-47-5
R16
Sakkari M.
Navarro E.[2]
7-57-61
Raducanu E.
Osaka N.
6-46-2
Tauson C.[4]
Dolehide C.
3-67-56-4
Frech M.[5]
Williams V.
6-26-2
Fernandez L.
Pegula J.[1]
6-31-67-5
Townsend T.
Kenin S.[6]
6-36-0
Rybakina E.[3]
Mboko V.
6-37-5
Kalinskaya A.
Linette M.[8]
6-46-0
R32
Williams V.
Stearns P.
6-36-4
Raducanu E.
Kostyuk M.[7]
7-646-4
Kenin S.[6]
Baptiste H.
6-37-64
Osaka N.
Putintseva Y.
6-27-5
Townsend T.
Maria T.
6-47-5
Fernandez L.
Joint M.
6-36-3
Mboko V.
Potapova A.
6-26-4
Frech M.[5]
Starodubtseva Y.
6-26-4
Linette M.[8]
Collins D.
7-56-4
Kalinskaya A.
Rakhimova K.
6-26-3
Sakkari M.
Boulter K.
6-36-4
Dolehide C.
Kessler M.
7-635-76-3