Brandon Nakashima vs Cameron NorrieWashington Round of 16

Washington · ATP · Round of 16
#31ATP
1839ELO
1788Hard ELO
$990kYTD
$7.9MCAREER
24 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 21 July 2025
hard
#29ATP
1829ELO
1789Hard ELO
$963kYTD
$15MCAREER
30 yrs · 188 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLWWLW
Nakashima B.
7-6 6-3
Norrie C.
Nakashima B.
7762
Norrie C.
6330

Brandon Nakashima defeated Cameron Norrie 7-6 6-3 in the Washington round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Cameron Norrie came in ranked #29, leading the head-to-head 3–1. Brandon Nakashima narrowed the head-to-head to 3–2.

Key context

Head to head

13
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2022-08-08Canada MastersR64hardCameron Norrie6-4 6-4
2022-06-20EastbourneR16grassCameron Norrie6-4 6-2
2021-07-19Los CabosFhardCameron Norrie6-2 6-2
2020-02-17Delray BeachR16hardBrandon Nakashima7-5 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Nakashima B.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Norrie C.

Norrie C.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Nakashima B.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Nakashima B.Norrie C.
61
Serve
45
23
Return
34

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
67%
65%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
75%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
52%
Service points won·Even
68%
64%
Return points won·Even
35%
37%
Break points saved·Even
62%
66%
Aces / match·Dominant
8.9
5.1
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.0
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (82 vs 84). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
56
89
Break points saved·Even
99
99
Break points won·Dominant
13
83
Deciding sets·Dominant
64
98
Tiebreaks·Even
89
89

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.5Hard Elo 1788
Surface ELO
5.5+1 Hard Elo edge
4.2Overall Elo 1839
ELO gap
5.8Overall Elo 1829
0.0
H2H
10.0
6.9
Surface form
4.2
Win streak
7.04-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.0
Prev. match
7.0
7.0
Country comfort
5.7
7.0
Surface transition
7.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
84
93

Nakashima B.: 9 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Norrie C.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
27°CDrizzle
Wind 0 km/hHumidity 65%