Daniel Evans vs Alex MichelsenWashington Round of 32

Washington · ATP · Round of 32
#385ATP
1588ELO
1562Hard ELO
36 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWLLLLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 21 July 2025
hard
#46ATP
1825ELO
1810Hard ELO
$785kYTD
$4.6MCAREER
21 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWLW
Evans D.
6-4 6-4
Michelsen A.
Evans D.
662
Michelsen A.
440

Daniel Evans defeated Alex Michelsen 6-4 6-4 in the Washington round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Alex Michelsen came in ranked #46, defending last year's quarter-final.

Key context

  • Match story: Daniel Evans edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–4.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Evans D.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Michelsen A.

Michelsen A.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Evans D.

Serve advantage — Michelsen A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Evans D.Michelsen A.
Serve
34
Return
46

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
58%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
51%
Service points won·Even
60%
64%
Return points won·Even
38%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
53%
62%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.3
5.3
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.7
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (47 vs 76). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
73
78
Break points saved·Even
97
98
Break points won·Clear edge
61
46
Deciding sets·Slight edge
82
91
Tiebreaks·Dominant
66
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.1Hard Elo 1562
Surface ELO
7.9+248 Hard Elo edge
2.4Overall Elo 1588
ELO gap
7.6Overall Elo 1825
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
3.0
Surface form
4.6
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
8.0
Prev. match
4.0
4.8
Country comfort
7.2
7.0
Surface transition
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
7.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
100
61

Evans D.: 18 days rest · Michelsen A.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 78 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
27°CDrizzle
Wind 0 km/hHumidity 65%