Flavio Cobolli vs Yoshihito NishiokaWashington Round of 32

Washington · ATP · Round of 32
#10ATP
1896ELO
1810Hard ELO
$3.1MYTD
$8.4MCAREER
24 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 21 July 2025
hard
#176ATP
1689ELO
1659Hard ELO
$42kYTD
$7.5MCAREER
30 yrs · 170 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLWWLLW
Cobolli F.
6-2 7-6
Nishioka Y.
Cobolli F.
6772
Nishioka Y.
2630

Flavio Cobolli defeated Yoshihito Nishioka 6-2 7-6 in the Washington round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Flavio Cobolli came in ranked #10, defending last year's final. Flavio Cobolli extended the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-03-18Miami MastersR128hardFlavio Cobolli1-6 6-1 6-4
2024-02-19Los CabosR32hardYoshihito Nishioka6-1 6-0

Serve vs return

This season
Cobolli F.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Nishioka Y.

Nishioka Y.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Cobolli F.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Cobolli F.Nishioka Y.
20
Serve
35
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
55%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
52%
Service points won·Even
62%
62%
Return points won·Even
37%
37%
Break points saved·Even
62%
60%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.0
2.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.2
1.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (84 vs 43). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
76
84
Break points saved·Even
96
95
Break points won·Clear edge
35
59
Deciding sets·Even
98
98
Tiebreaks·Even
95
97

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.8+150 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.2Hard Elo 1659
7.5Overall Elo 1896
ELO gap
2.5Overall Elo 1689
5.4
H2H
4.6
2.0
Surface form
5.5
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 8
Fatigue & Travel
4.0
Prev. match
8.0
Country comfort
5.5
7.0
Surface transition
7.0
Context
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
56

Cobolli F.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 111 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
27°CDrizzle
Wind 0 km/hHumidity 65%