Carlota Martinez Cirez vs Claire Liu — Palermo 125 Round of 32

Palermo 125 · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
ESP
Carlota Martinez Cirez
#368WTA
1324ELO
1307Clay ELO
25 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWWWLLL
0 — 0
Sets
Monday, 21 July 2025
clay
Claire Liu
USA
Claire Liu
#146WTA
1669ELO
1623Clay ELO
26 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWLLW
Martinez Cirez C.
6-3 7-6
Liu C.
Martinez Cirez C.
6772
Liu C.
363–

Carlota Martinez Cirez defeated Claire Liu 6-3 7-6 in the Palermo 125 round of 32 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Claire Liu came in ranked #146.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Martinez Cirez C.serving33% hold

wins 43% of points on serve vs Liu C.

Liu C.serving40% hold

wins 46% of points on serve vs Martinez Cirez C.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Martinez Cirez C.Liu C.
1st serve in·Even
68%
67%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
56%
61%
2nd serve points won·Even
40%
44%
Service points won·Slight edge
51%
56%
Return points won·Even
47%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
49%
56%
Aces / match·Clear edge
0.7
3.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.8
3.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (81 vs 62). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Martinez Cirez C.
4.4
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Liu C.
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
1.8Clay Elo 1307
Surface ELO
8.2+316 Clay Elo edge
1.0Overall Elo 1324
ELO gap
9.0Overall Elo 1669
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
2.1
Surface form
3.8
0.0
Win streak
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Martinez Cirez C.Liu C.
Freshness·
—
83

Liu C.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 18 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Final
Jones F.
Koevermans A.
6-36-2
Semi-finals
Jones F.
Prozorova T.
7-56-2
Koevermans A.
Grabher J.
6-43-66-4
Quarter-finals
Grabher J.
Zidansek T.
6-46-3
Prozorova T.
Vandewinkel H.
7-55-76-1
Jones F.
Udvardy P.
6-26-3
Koevermans A.
Quevedo K.
6-46-1
R16
Udvardy P.
Jamrichova R.
6-47-5
Grabher J.
Martinez Cirez C.
6-04-0
Prozorova T.
Von Deichmann K.
4-66-26-1
Jones F.
Selekhmeteva O.
6-46-3
Quevedo K.
Bulgaru M.
7-57-67
Koevermans A.
Semenistaja D.
6-21-67-5
Zidansek T.
Ambrosio S.
6-27-63
Vandewinkel H.
Sherif M.
W/O
R32
Von Deichmann K.
Riera J.
7-631-66-2
Prozorova T.
Jimenez Kasintseva V.
7-656-4
Jones F.
Paquet C.
6-36-1
Selekhmeteva O.
Pedone G.
6-16-4
Jamrichova R.
Zantedeschi A.
6-16-1
Udvardy P.
Erjavec V.
6-16-1
Bulgaru M.
Waltert S.
6-46-0
Koevermans A.
Rame A.
3-66-46-4
Quevedo K.
Radivojevic L.
6-22-67-62
Semenistaja D.
Niemeier J.
4-66-26-3
Ambrosio S.
Romero Gormaz L.
6-46-2
Martinez Cirez C.
Liu C.
6-37-63
Sherif M.
Fita Boluda A.
6-26-4
Vandewinkel H.
Spiteri D.
6-46-4
Zidansek T.
Grant T.
6-47-65
Grabher J.
Wurth T.
6-26-4