Reilly Opelka vs Murphy CassoneWashington Round of 64

Washington · ATP · Round of 64
#115ATP
1749ELO
1734Hard ELO
$325kYTD
$6.0MCAREER
28 yrs · 211 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWWLWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 21 July 2025
hard
#289ATP
1429ELO
1393Hard ELO
23 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLWLWLL
Opelka R.
7-6 6-7 6-3
Cassone M.
Opelka R.
776562
Cassone M.
647731

Reilly Opelka defeated Murphy Cassone 7-6 6-7 6-3 in the Washington round of 64 on hard. The result followed the form book — Reilly Opelka came in ranked #115, defending last year's round of 32.

Key context

  • Match story: Reilly Opelka closed it out in three sets, 7–6 6–7 6–3.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Opelka R.serving91% hold

wins 71% of points on serve vs Cassone M.

Cassone M.serving95% hold

wins 75% of points on serve vs Opelka R.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Opelka R.Cassone M.
86
Serve
0
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
65%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
79%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
50%
Service points won·Slight edge
69%
64%
Return points won·Slight edge
28%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
74%
64%
Aces / match·Dominant
16.8
6.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.0
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (67 vs 97). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
63
31
Break points saved·Clear edge
100
88
Break points won·Clear edge
1
18
Deciding sets·Dominant
88
15
Tiebreaks·Dominant
93
67

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.6
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
9.1+341 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.9Hard Elo 1393
9.0Overall Elo 1749
ELO gap
1.0Overall Elo 1429
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
5.2
Surface form
5.5
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
6.7
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
8.0
6.7
Country comfort
7.0
7.0
Surface transition
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
85

Cassone M.: 3 days rest · 1 match, 26 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
27°CDrizzle
Wind 0 km/hHumidity 65%