Matteo Arnaldi vs Lorenzo SonegoWashington Round of 32

Washington · ATP · Round of 32
#35ATP
1830ELO
1732Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$5.8MCAREER
25 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 21 July 2025
hard
#69ATP
1719ELO
1702Hard ELO
$435kYTD
$9.8MCAREER
31 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLLWLW
Arnaldi M.
7-5 7-5
Sonego L.
Arnaldi M.
772
Sonego L.
550

Matteo Arnaldi defeated Lorenzo Sonego 7-5 7-5 in the Washington round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Matteo Arnaldi came in ranked #35.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Arnaldi M.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Sonego L.

Sonego L.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Arnaldi M.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Arnaldi M.Sonego L.
23
Serve
41
22
Return
38

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
57%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
51%
Service points won·Slight edge
61%
66%
Return points won·Even
36%
34%
Break points saved·Slight edge
62%
68%
Aces / match·Even
5.7
6.3
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.4
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (60 vs 58). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
78
69
Break points saved·Even
97
99
Break points won·Slight edge
51
45
Deciding sets·Clear edge
86
71
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
99
88

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.6+31 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
5.4Hard Elo 1702
4.8Overall Elo 1830
ELO gap
5.2Overall Elo 1719
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
6.0
Surface form
4.5
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
6.0
Prev. match
8.0
Country comfort
5.0
7.0
Surface transition
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
95
76

Arnaldi M.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Sonego L.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
27°CDrizzle
Wind 0 km/hHumidity 65%