Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Luka MikrutUmag Qualifying Round 2

Umag · ATP · Qualifying Round 2
#277ATP
1442ELO
1412Clay ELO
23 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWLLWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Sunday, 20 July 2025
clay
#172ATP
1597ELO
1619Clay ELO
$79kYTD
$252kCAREER
22 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWW
Guillen Meza A.
6-3 6-1
Mikrut L.
Guillen Meza A.
662
Mikrut L.
310

Alvaro Guillen Meza defeated Luka Mikrut 6-3 6-1 in the Umag qualifying round 2 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Luka Mikrut came in ranked #172, defending last year's round of 32.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Guillen Meza A.serving61% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Mikrut L.

Mikrut L.serving66% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Guillen Meza A.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
59%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
64%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
51%
Service points won·Slight edge
58%
63%
Return points won·Even
43%
40%
Break points saved·Slight edge
54%
62%
Aces / match·Dominant
1.7
5.1
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.1
1.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (87 vs 63). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
19
54
Break points saved·Dominant
43
77
Break points won·Clear edge
41
29
Deciding sets·Dominant
36
81
Tiebreaks·Dominant
17
59

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
3.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.7Clay Elo 1412
Surface ELO
6.3+207 Clay Elo edge
4.4Overall Elo 1442
ELO gap
5.6Overall Elo 1597
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
3.2
Surface form
4.8
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
8.2
Minutes 14d
8.4
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
95

Guillen Meza A.: 8 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast