Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz — Bastad Qualifying Round 2

Bastad · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round 2
NOR
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
#118ATP
1620ELO
1582Clay ELO
$293kYTD
$747kCAREER
19 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLLLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 14 July 2025
clay
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
ESP
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
#116ATP
1757ELO
1732Clay ELO
$268kYTD
$884kCAREER
23 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWLWWW
Budkov Kjaer N.
3-6 7-6 6-3
Llamas Ruiz P.
Budkov Kjaer N.
37762
Llamas Ruiz P.
66431

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer defeated Pablo Llamas Ruiz 3-6 7-6 6-3 in the Bastad qualifying round 2 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Pablo Llamas Ruiz came in ranked #116. Nicolai Budkov Kjaer extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

1–0
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-07-14BastadQ2clayNicolai Budkov Kjaer3-6 7-6(4) 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Budkov Kjaer N.serving66% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Llamas Ruiz P.

Llamas Ruiz P.serving70% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Budkov Kjaer N.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Budkov Kjaer N.Llamas Ruiz P.
1st serve in·Slight edge
64%
70%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
51%
Service points won·Even
62%
62%
Return points won·Even
40%
42%
Break points saved·Slight edge
57%
62%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.3
2.2
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.6
1.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (103 vs 78). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Budkov Kjaer N.Llamas Ruiz P.
Clutch Rating·Even
67
63
Break points saved·Slight edge
78
88
Break points won·Even
39
39
Deciding sets·Clear edge
96
79
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
81
72

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Budkov Kjaer N.Llamas Ruiz P.
Freshness·Even
100
98

Budkov Kjaer N.: 19 days rest · Llamas Ruiz P.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast

Draw — qualifying

Q2
Misolic F.
Wallin O.
7-626-2
Budkov Kjaer N.
Llamas Ruiz P.
3-67-646-3
Pellegrino A.
Skatov T.
6-36-2
Monteiro T.
Gaubas V.
1-66-26-3
Q1
Misolic F.
Albot R.
6-46-3
Wallin O.
Durasovic V.
3-67-667-64
Budkov Kjaer N.
Seyboth Wild T.
6-36-4
Llamas Ruiz P.
Van Assche L.
6-36-0
Pellegrino A.
Michalski D.
6-36-736-2
Skatov T.
Nagal S.
6-26-4
Gaubas V.
Hede L.
6-16-2
Monteiro T.
Martin A.
7-56-1