Mariano Kestelboim vs Maxime Janvier — San Marino CH Qualifying Round 2

San Marino CH · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round 2
Mariano Kestelboim
ARG
Mariano Kestelboim
#686ATP
1198ELO
1189Clay ELO
30 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLLLLLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 14 July 2025
clay
Maxime Janvier
FRA
Maxime Janvier
#572ATP
1297ELO
1261Clay ELO
29 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLLWLWW
Kestelboim M.
2-6 7-6 6-3
Janvier M.
Kestelboim M.
27762
Janvier M.
66531

Mariano Kestelboim defeated Maxime Janvier 2-6 7-6 6-3 in the San Marino CH qualifying round 2 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Maxime Janvier came in ranked #572, defending last year's round of 32.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Kestelboim M.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Janvier M.

Janvier M.serving66% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Kestelboim M.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Kestelboim M.Janvier M.
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
60%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
61%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
46%
Service points won·Slight edge
56%
62%
Return points won·Slight edge
42%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
52%
61%
Aces / match·Dominant
1.6
6.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.7
5.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (51 vs 64). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Kestelboim M.Janvier M.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
14
5
Break points saved·Dominant
7
71
Break points won·Clear edge
18
1
Deciding sets·Dominant
68
7
Tiebreaks·
—
10

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Kestelboim M.
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Janvier M.
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
3.8Clay Elo 1189
Surface ELO
6.2+72 Clay Elo edge
3.5Overall Elo 1198
ELO gap
6.5Overall Elo 1297
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
4.7
Surface form
2.6
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 5
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
7.1
3-set count
4.0
8.0
Prev. match
6.0
Surface transition
3.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Kestelboim M.Janvier M.
Freshness·
—
82

Janvier M.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 29 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Q2
Prihodko O.[5]
Pecci A.
6-37-63
Karol M.[7]
Picchione A.
3-67-56-3
Ivanovski K.
Forti F.
6-746-46-4
Villanueva G.[8]
Olivieri G.[2]
6-47-61
Kestelboim M.
Janvier M.
2-67-656-3
Berankis R.[11]
Prado Angelo J.[1]
6-26-4
Q1
Olivieri G.[2]
Mazza M.
6-42-66-4
Picchione A.
Mikrut L.[6]
7-643-67-5
Villanueva G.[8]
Carboni L.
3-66-23-1
Prihodko O.[5]
Mager G.
6-46-1
Karol M.[7]
Bronzetti A.
6-36-4
Janvier M.
Bertola R.[3]
6-746-46-4
Berankis R.[11]
Agamenone F.
6-36-2
Ivanovski K.
Kovalik J.[9]
7-657-64
Prado Angelo J.[1]
Sakellaridis S.
6-22-66-4
Kestelboim M.
Dellavedova M.[12]
6-46-4
Forti F.
Gombos N.[4]
7-696-747-66
Pecci A.
Pokorny L.[10]
6-746-46-2