August Holmgren vs Yuta ShimizuGranby CH Quarter-final

Granby CH · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
#143ATP
1566ELO
1517Hard ELO
$130kYTD
$646kCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWLWLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 14 July 2025
hard
#356ATP
1446ELO
1417Hard ELO
27 yrs · 163 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWWL
Holmgren A.
6-4 4-6 6-3
Shimizu Y.
Holmgren A.
6462
Shimizu Y.
4631

August Holmgren defeated Yuta Shimizu 6-4 4-6 6-3 in the Granby CH quarter-final on hard. The result followed the form book — August Holmgren came in ranked #143.

Key context

  • Match story: August Holmgren closed it out in three sets, 6–4 4–6 6–3.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Holmgren A.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Shimizu Y.

Shimizu Y.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Holmgren A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
75%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
49%
Service points won·Slight edge
66%
60%
Return points won·Slight edge
33%
39%
Break points saved·Slight edge
65%
58%
Aces / match·Dominant
8.3
3.5
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.7
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (78 vs 71). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
43
22
Break points saved·Dominant
90
65
Break points won·Slight edge
0
9
Deciding sets·Clear edge
46
27
Tiebreaks·Dominant
95
59

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.4+100 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.6Hard Elo 1417
6.5Overall Elo 1566
ELO gap
3.5Overall Elo 1446
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
3.0
Surface form
6.0
Fatigue & Travel
0.0
Minutes 14d
5.5
0.0
3-set count
4.0
8.0
Prev. match
9.0
7.0
Surface transition
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
83
92

Holmgren A.: 3 days rest · 1 match, 31 games (7d) · Shimizu Y.: 11 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast