James Duckworth vs Alejandro Davidovich FokinaLos Cabos Round of 16

Los Cabos · ATP · Round of 16
#74ATP
1628ELO
1592Hard ELO
$485kYTD
$5.4MCAREER
34 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLWLWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 14 July 2025
hard
#20ATP
1893ELO
1842Hard ELO
$926kYTD
$12MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWLW
Duckworth J.
6-3 6-4
Davidovich Fokina A.
Duckworth J.
662
Davidovich Fokina A.
340

James Duckworth defeated Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 6-3 6-4 in the Los Cabos round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Alejandro Davidovich Fokina came in ranked #20, leading the head-to-head 1–0. James Duckworth claimed a first win over Alejandro Davidovich Fokina in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-06-23EastbourneR16grassAlejandro Davidovich Fokina6-7(3) 6-3 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Duckworth J.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Davidovich Fokina A.

Davidovich Fokina A.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Duckworth J.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Duckworth J.Davidovich Fokina A.
25
Serve
40
23
Return
53

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
57%
67%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
76%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
53%
Service points won·Even
66%
64%
Return points won·Even
36%
38%
Break points saved·Even
67%
66%
Aces / match·Dominant
7.2
3.8
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.9
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (103 vs 85). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
55
91
Break points saved·Even
97
99
Break points won·Dominant
4
95
Deciding sets·Clear edge
78
90
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
72
85

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
7.3
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.1Hard Elo 1592
Surface ELO
7.9+250 Hard Elo edge
2.1Overall Elo 1628
ELO gap
7.9Overall Elo 1893
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.5
Surface form
6.6
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
6.8
Minutes 14d
5.1
7.0
3-set count
0.0
8.0
Prev. match
4.0
7.0
Surface transition
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
89
79

Duckworth J.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Davidovich Fokina A.: 8 days rest · 4 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast