Juan Alejandro Hernandez Serrano vs Taro DanielLos Cabos Round of 32

Los Cabos · ATP · Round of 32
1260ELO
1254Hard ELO
27 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWWLLL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 14 July 2025
hard
#203ATP
1567ELO
1512Hard ELO
33 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWW
Hernandez Serrano J.
3-6 7-5 6-4
Daniel T.
Hernandez Serrano J.
3762
Daniel T.
6541

Juan Alejandro Hernandez Serrano defeated Taro Daniel 3-6 7-5 6-4 in the Los Cabos round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Taro Daniel came in leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's round of 32. Juan Alejandro Hernandez Serrano claimed a first win over Taro Daniel in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-02-27AcapulcoQ1hardTaro Daniel6-2 6-1

Serve vs return

This season
Hernandez Serrano J.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Daniel T.

Daniel T.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Hernandez Serrano J.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
62%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
64%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
51%
Service points won·Even
59%
62%
Return points won·Even
39%
35%
Break points saved·Slight edge
58%
63%
Aces / match·Dominant
1.2
4.2
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.0
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (49 vs 68). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.4Hard Elo 1254
Surface ELO
7.6+258 Hard Elo edge
2.4Overall Elo 1260
ELO gap
7.6Overall Elo 1567
0.0
H2H
10.0
4.4
Surface form
3.9
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
7.9
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
8.0
6.0
Surface transition
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
67

Daniel T.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 61 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast