Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Filip MisolicBastad Quarter-final

Bastad · ATP · Quarter-final
#59ATP
1759ELO
1741Clay ELO
$653kYTD
$2.7MCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWLWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 14 July 2025
clay
#221ATP
1587ELO
1664Clay ELO
$111kYTD
$1.2MCAREER
24 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLWWLLL
Ugo Carabelli C.
6-3 7-5
Misolic F.
Ugo Carabelli C.
672
Misolic F.
350

Camilo Ugo Carabelli defeated Filip Misolic 6-3 7-5 in the Bastad quarter-final on clay. The result followed the form book — Camilo Ugo Carabelli came in ranked #59, defending last year's round of 32. Camilo Ugo Carabelli claimed a first win over Filip Misolic in four meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 3–1.

Key context

Head to head

03
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-10-20ViennaR32hardFilip Misolic7-5 7-6(6)
2025-03-31BucharestR16clayFilip Misolic6-3 6-1
2023-03-20Miami MastersQ1hardFilip Misolic6-3 5-3 RET

Serve vs return

This season
Ugo Carabelli C.serving68% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Misolic F.

Misolic F.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Ugo Carabelli C.

Serve advantage — Misolic F.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Ugo Carabelli C.Misolic F.
24
Serve
36
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
51%
Service points won·Even
61%
62%
Return points won·Even
38%
40%
Break points saved·Even
60%
62%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.9
3.5
Double faults / match·Even
2.4
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (87 vs 84). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
78
79
Break points saved·Even
90
91
Break points won·Slight edge
62
53
Deciding sets·Even
96
94
Tiebreaks·Dominant
72
97

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.0+77 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.0Clay Elo 1664
7.1Overall Elo 1759
ELO gap
2.9Overall Elo 1587
0.0
H2H
10.0
5.1
Surface form
8.6
0.0Lost last 4
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
8.4
Minutes 14d
0.0
7.0
3-set count
0.0
6.0
Prev. match
6.0
3.0
Surface transition
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
97

Ugo Carabelli C.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
22°CDrizzle
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 69%