Alexander Bublik vs Arthur CazauxGstaad Semi-final

Gstaad · ATP · Semi-final
#11ATP
1889ELO
1822Clay ELO
$1.2MYTD
$12MCAREER
29 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 14 July 2025
clay
#78ATP
1793ELO
1703Clay ELO
$46kYTD
$2.3MCAREER
23 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLLWWLW
Bublik A.
6-1 7-5
Cazaux A.
Bublik A.
672
Cazaux A.
150

Alexander Bublik defeated Arthur Cazaux 6-1 7-5 in the Gstaad semi-final on clay. The result followed the form book — Alexander Bublik came in ranked #11, leading the head-to-head 2–0. Alexander Bublik extended the head-to-head to 3–0.

Key context

  • Match story: Alexander Bublik came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 6–1 7–5.

Head to head

20
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-07-21KitzbuhelFclayAlexander Bublik6-4 6-3
2024-07-01WimbledonR64grassAlexander Bublik6-4 7-6(1) 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Bublik A.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Cazaux A.

Cazaux A.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Bublik A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Bublik A.Cazaux A.
55
Serve
69
51
Return
0

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
60%
1st serve points won·Even
77%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
51%
Service points won·Even
67%
65%
Return points won·Even
35%
37%
Break points saved·Even
67%
67%
Aces / match·Clear edge
10.8
8.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.5
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (91 vs 59). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
88
65
Break points saved·Even
99
97
Break points won·Dominant
67
27
Deciding sets·Clear edge
99
87
Tiebreaks·Dominant
96
70

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
7.1+120 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.9Clay Elo 1703
6.7Overall Elo 1889
ELO gap
3.3Overall Elo 1793
5.0
H2H
5.0
7.8
Surface form
2.1
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
8.0
Minutes 14d
0.7
7.0
3-set count
0.0
4.0
Prev. match
8.0
3.0
Surface transition
3.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
66

Bublik A.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 88 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
20°CDrizzle
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 62%