Maria Lourdes Carle vs Elina Avanesyan — Iasi Round of 16

Iasi · WTA · Round of 16
ARG
Maria Lourdes Carle
#232WTA
1484ELO
1461Clay ELO
26 yrs · 166 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWLLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 14 July 2025
clay
ARM1
Elina Avanesyan
#211WTA
1694ELO
1666Clay ELO
23 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLWWLLWWW
Carle M.
7-6 6-2
Avanesyan E.
Carle M.
7762
Avanesyan E.
6420

Maria Lourdes Carle defeated Elina Avanesyan 7-6 6-2 in the Iasi round of 16 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Elina Avanesyan came in ranked #211, defending last year's final.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Carle M.serving45% hold

wins 48% of points on serve vs Avanesyan E.

Avanesyan E.serving43% hold

wins 47% of points on serve vs Carle M.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Carle M.Avanesyan E.
1st serve in·Even
67%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
57%
57%
2nd serve points won·Even
40%
40%
Service points won·Even
52%
51%
Return points won·Even
48%
48%
Break points saved·Even
51%
50%
Aces / match·Even
0.8
0.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.2
3.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (80 vs 49). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Carle M.Avanesyan E.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
27
74
Break points saved·Dominant
26
60
Break points won·Even
97
97
Deciding sets·Dominant
56
90
Tiebreaks·Dominant
5
79

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Carle M.
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Avanesyan E.
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
3.1Clay Elo 1461
Surface ELO
6.9+205 Clay Elo edge
3.0Overall Elo 1484
ELO gap
7.0Overall Elo 1694
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
5.5
Surface form
4.4
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 4
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
9.4
0.0
3-set count
Prev. match
9.0
Surface transition
3.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Carle M.Avanesyan E.
Freshness·Slight edge
86
94

Carle M.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 38 games (7d) · Avanesyan E.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 18 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast

Draw

Final
Begu I.[7]
Teichmann J.[6]
6-07-5
Semi-finals
Teichmann J.[6]
Cirstea S.
6-46-3
Begu I.[7]
Cristian J.[2]
6-46-4
Quarter-finals
Cristian J.[2]
Udvardy P.
6-36-4
Teichmann J.[6]
Waltert S.
5-76-17-5
Cirstea S.
Carle M.
6-16-4
Begu I.[7]
Siskova A.
6-23-67-5
R16
Cristian J.[2]
Fett J.
4-1
Siskova A.
Li A.[3]
6-36-3
Carle M.
Avanesyan E.[1]
7-646-2
Cirstea S.
Gracheva V.[5]
6-26-4
Waltert S.
Burillo Escorihuela I.
6-47-62
Teichmann J.[6]
Chwalinska M.
7-656-2
Begu I.[7]
Jimenez Kasintseva V.
3-66-36-3
Udvardy P.
Jones F.[8]
6-46-3
R32
Cristian J.[2]
Lodikova D.
6-16-4
Burillo Escorihuela I.
Parrizas Diaz N.[4]
5-77-54-1
Waltert S.
Sevastova A.
6-36-3
Chwalinska M.
Shymanovich I.
4-66-46-2
Li A.[3]
Maristany Zuleta De Reales G.
3-66-26-2
Jones F.[8]
Herrero Linana A.
6-36-2
Teichmann J.[6]
Bulgaru M.
1-67-626-1
Udvardy P.
Rouvroy M.
6-32-67-5
Avanesyan E.[1]
Prisacariu A.
6-36-3
Begu I.[7]
Hibino N.
6-16-2
Carle M.
Tig P.
2-66-26-2
Gracheva V.[5]
Bogdan A.
7-56-2
Fett J.
Erjavec V.
7-666-2
Siskova A.
Kawa K.
6-44-67-62
Jimenez Kasintseva V.
Popa G.
6-27-5
Cirstea S.
Buzarnescu M.
6-26-2