Rei Sakamoto vs Naoki Nakagawa — Winnipeg CH Round of 32

Winnipeg CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
JPN
Rei Sakamoto
#161ATP
1608ELO
1589Hard ELO
$233kYTD
$492kCAREER
20 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLLWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 7 July 2025
hard
JPN
Naoki Nakagawa
#776ATP
1289ELO
1271Hard ELO
29 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWLL
Sakamoto R.
7-6 2-6 6-3
Nakagawa N.
Sakamoto R.
77262
Nakagawa N.
64631

Rei Sakamoto defeated Naoki Nakagawa 7-6 2-6 6-3 in the Winnipeg CH round of 32 on hard.

Key context

  • Match story: Rei Sakamoto closed it out in three sets, 7–6 2–6 6–3.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Sakamoto R.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Nakagawa N.

Nakagawa N.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Sakamoto R.

Serve advantage — Sakamoto R.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Sakamoto R.Nakagawa N.
1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
53%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
49%
Service points won·Even
65%
62%
Return points won·Even
37%
35%
Break points saved·Slight edge
61%
55%
Aces / match·Even
7.0
6.6
Double faults / match·Even
2.1
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (87 vs 28). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Sakamoto R.Nakagawa N.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
49
3
Break points saved·Dominant
87
57
Break points won·Slight edge
8
1
Deciding sets·Dominant
93
12
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
23
17

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Sakamoto R.
8.3
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Nakagawa N.
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
9.1+319 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.9Hard Elo 1271
9.3Overall Elo 1608
ELO gap
0.7Overall Elo 1289
10.0No prior meetings
H2H
0.0
7.5
Surface form
3.5
9.05-match win streak
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
2.6
Minutes 14d
9.2
4.0
3-set count
8.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Sakamoto R.Nakagawa N.
Freshness·
95
—

Sakamoto R.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Final
Draxl L.[2]
Blockx A.[1]
1-66-36-4
Semi-finals
Blockx A.[1]
Shimabukuro S.[3]
6-13-67-5
Draxl L.[2]
Zhou Y.
6-26-4
Quarter-finals
Shimabukuro S.[3]
Hsu Y.[7]
7-632-66-3
Zhou Y.
Andrade A.
6-36-1
Blockx A.[1]
Shimizu Y.[5]
6-26-4
Draxl L.[2]
Noguchi R.[6]
6-16-2
R16
Shimabukuro S.[3]
Johns G.
6-37-63
Andrade A.
Imamura M.
6-36-1
Zhou Y.
Martin A.
6-46-3
Hsu Y.[7]
Jubb P.
6-17-65
Blockx A.[1]
Sakamoto R.
6-27-5
Draxl L.[2]
Miyoshi K.
6-15-76-2
Shimizu Y.[5]
Bouzige M.
6-46-3
Noguchi R.[6]
Arseneault N.
7-56-2
R32
Sakamoto R.
Nakagawa N.
7-642-66-3
Zhou Y.
Wu T.
3-67-626-4
Bouzige M.
Gengel M.
6-47-5
Jubb P.
Riedi L.
6-25-76-4
Hsu Y.[7]
Boulais J.
6-07-5
Andrade A.
Mejia N.[8]
1-67-57-5
Imamura M.
Glinka D.
6-36-2
Martin A.
Galarneau A.[4]
6-26-4
Arseneault N.
Aguilar J.
6-34-67-68
Noguchi R.[6]
Ilagan A.
6-33-66-1
Johns G.
Chung H.
6-32-67-64
Blockx A.[1]
Tudorica A.
7-56-2
Miyoshi K.
Sekulic P.
6-47-5
Shimizu Y.[5]
Sell K.
2-67-667-64
Shimabukuro S.[3]
Langmo C.
6-26-4
Draxl L.[2]
Moriya H.
6-36-1