Justina Mikulskyte vs Kajsa Rinaldo PerssonBastad 125 Round of 32

Bastad 125 · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#242WTA
1357ELO
1368Clay ELO
30 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLWWWWW
0 — 0
Sets
Monday, 7 July 2025
clay
#215WTA
1543ELO
1513Clay ELO
28 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLLWWLW
Mikulskyte J.
6-4 6-3
Rinaldo Persson K.
Mikulskyte J.
662
Rinaldo Persson K.
43

Justina Mikulskyte defeated Kajsa Rinaldo Persson 6-4 6-3 in the Bastad 125 round of 32 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Kajsa Rinaldo Persson came in ranked #215, defending last year's round of 32, but Justina Mikulskyte had been the form player, winning 3 of their last 5 on clay.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Mikulskyte J.serving37% hold

wins 45% of points on serve vs Rinaldo Persson K.

Rinaldo Persson K.serving42% hold

wins 47% of points on serve vs Mikulskyte J.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
60%
68%
1st serve points won·Even
62%
61%
2nd serve points won·Even
44%
46%
Service points won·Even
55%
56%
Return points won·Even
46%
47%
Break points saved·Even
53%
53%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.9
0.9
Double faults / match·Even
3.5
3.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (93 vs 79). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.7Clay Elo 1368
Surface ELO
5.3+145 Clay Elo edge
3.9Overall Elo 1357
ELO gap
6.1Overall Elo 1543
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
4.3
Surface form
7.4
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.0
3-set count
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
100
82

Mikulskyte J.: 19 days rest · Rinaldo Persson K.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 54 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast