Tatjana Maria vs Carol Zhao — Newport 125 Semi-final

Newport 125 · CHALLENGER · Semi-final
Tatjana Maria
GER
Tatjana Maria
#96WTA
1703ELO
1688Grass ELO
38 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWLWLWWW
0 — 0
Sets
Monday, 7 July 2025
grass
Carol Zhao
CAN
Carol Zhao
#432WTA
1390ELO
1380Grass ELO
31 yrs · 165 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLWLWLL
Maria T.
6-1 6-2
Zhao C.
Maria T.
662
Zhao C.
12–

Tatjana Maria defeated Carol Zhao 6-1 6-2 in the Newport 125 semi-final on grass. The result followed the form book — Tatjana Maria came in ranked #96.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Maria T.serving65% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Zhao C.

Zhao C.serving63% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Maria T.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Maria T.Zhao C.
1st serve in·Slight edge
58%
67%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
65%
60%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
41%
Service points won·Even
57%
54%
Return points won·Even
41%
43%
Break points saved·Even
51%
54%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.0
1.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.3
5.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (77 vs 42). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Maria T.Zhao C.
Clutch Rating·Even
13
10
Break points saved·Clear edge
31
19
Break points won·Clear edge
78
63
Deciding sets·Dominant
9
40
Tiebreaks·Dominant
58
30

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Maria T.
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Zhao C.
4.4
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 28 days (−0.3)
Form & Matchup
7.7+307 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.3Grass Elo 1380
7.8Overall Elo 1703
ELO gap
2.2Overall Elo 1390
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
6.5
Surface form
3.8
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
8.4
Minutes 14d
7.0
3-set count
6.0
Prev. match
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Maria T.Zhao C.
Freshness·Clear edge
71
92

Maria T.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 48 games (7d) · Zhao C.: 3 days rest · 1 match, 16 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast

Draw

Final
Mcnally C.
Maria T.
2-66-46-2
Semi-finals
Mcnally C.
Mandlik E.
1-67-56-4
Maria T.
Zhao C.
6-16-2
Quarter-finals
Maria T.
Ishii S.
6-36-1
Zhao C.
Smith A.
7-56-3
Mcnally C.
Gibson T.
6-30-66-2
Mandlik E.
Stefanini L.
6-36-1
R16
Maria T.
Miyazaki Y.
6-17-5
Ishii S.
Aiava D.
3-66-36-3
Zhao C.
Kalieva E.
6-756-36-3
Smith A.
Hartono A.
4-66-26-4
Mcnally C.
Bolkvadze M.
6-07-5
Gibson T.
Yamalapalli S.
6-36-4
Stefanini L.
Rogers A.
6-27-5
Mandlik E.
Giavara H.
6-47-5
R32
Ishii S.
Chang H.
6-14-67-5
Aiava D.
Bektas E.
6-746-37-65
Kalieva E.
Fruhvirtova L.
6-26-4
Zhao C.
Ma Y.
6-36-3
Gibson T.
Hule P.
6-46-3
Rogers A.
Bouchard E.
7-56-2
Hartono A.
Mateas M.
6-36-2
Bolkvadze M.
Akli A.
6-46-3
Stefanini L.
Ma L.
6-15-76-0
Mandlik E.
Kung L.
6-06-1
Giavara H.
Shibahara E.
3-67-56-1
Maria T.
Cross K.
6-36-3
Miyazaki Y.
Mchale C.
3-66-26-1
Mcnally C.
Vidmanova D.
6-06-2
Yamalapalli S.
Sebov K.
6-26-2
Smith A.
Lincer O.
1-66-36-2