Adrian Mannarino vs Bernard TomicNewport CH Quarter-final

Newport CH · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
#40ATP
1673ELO
1653Grass ELO
$633kYTD
$15MCAREER
38 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLLWLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 7 July 2025
grass
#204ATP
1475ELO
1497Grass ELO
$117kYTD
$6.8MCAREER
33 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLLWLLL
Mannarino A.
4-6 6-2 6-1
Tomic B.
Mannarino A.
4662
Tomic B.
6211

Adrian Mannarino defeated Bernard Tomic 4-6 6-2 6-1 in the Newport CH quarter-final on grass. The result followed the form book — Adrian Mannarino came in ranked #40. Adrian Mannarino claimed a first win over Bernard Tomic in four meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 3–1.

Key context

Head to head

03
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2016-02-22AcapulcoR16hardBernard Tomic6-4 6-4
2015-07-20BogotaFhardBernard Tomic6-1 3-6 6-2
2015-02-23AcapulcoR32hardBernard Tomic3-6 6-4 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Mannarino A.serving87% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Tomic B.

Tomic B.serving87% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Mannarino A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
51%
Service points won·Even
63%
64%
Return points won·Even
38%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
59%
64%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.5
5.6
Double faults / match·Even
1.9
1.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (93 vs 94). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
65
53
Break points saved·Even
96
92
Break points won·Dominant
66
4
Deciding sets·Even
72
74
Tiebreaks·Dominant
38
79

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.6+156 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.4Grass Elo 1497
6.9Overall Elo 1673
ELO gap
3.1Overall Elo 1475
5.0
H2H
5.0
7.3
Surface form
4.9
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
1.8
Minutes 14d
9.3
0.0
3-set count
4.0
Prev. match
9.0
Surface transition
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
69
75

Mannarino A.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 46 games (7d) · Tomic B.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 45 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast