Francesco Maestrelli vs Pablo Llamas RuizIasi CH Round of 32

Iasi CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#149ATP
1538ELO
1466Clay ELO
$297kYTD
$881kCAREER
23 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLLWLL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 7 July 2025
clay
#116ATP
1757ELO
1732Clay ELO
$268kYTD
$884kCAREER
23 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWLWWW
Maestrelli F.
3-6 6-1 6-4
Llamas Ruiz P.
Maestrelli F.
3662
Llamas Ruiz P.
6141

Francesco Maestrelli defeated Pablo Llamas Ruiz 3-6 6-1 6-4 in the Iasi CH round of 32 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Pablo Llamas Ruiz came in ranked #116, but Francesco Maestrelli had arrived on a 4-match winning run.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Maestrelli F.serving68% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Llamas Ruiz P.

Llamas Ruiz P.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Maestrelli F.

Serve advantage — Llamas Ruiz P.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
70%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
72%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
51%
Service points won·Even
63%
62%
Return points won·Even
38%
42%
Break points saved·Even
62%
62%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.0
2.2
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.4
1.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (95 vs 78). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
56
63
Break points saved·Slight edge
83
88
Break points won·Dominant
14
39
Deciding sets·Even
83
79
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
80
72

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
2.7Clay Elo 1466
Surface ELO
7.3+266 Clay Elo edge
3.4Overall Elo 1538
ELO gap
6.6Overall Elo 1757
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
8.4
Surface form
6.8
7.04-match win streak
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3.9
Minutes 14d
9.1
4.0
3-set count
7.0
7.0
Prev. match
8.0
3.0
Surface transition
3.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
97
98

Maestrelli F.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Llamas Ruiz P.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast