Elmer Moller vs Francesco MaestrelliIasi CH Quarter-final

Iasi CH · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
#190ATP
1609ELO
1593Clay ELO
$153kYTD
$725kCAREER
23 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWLWWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 7 July 2025
clay
#149ATP
1538ELO
1466Clay ELO
$297kYTD
$881kCAREER
23 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLLWLL
Moller E.
2-6 6-2 6-3
Maestrelli F.
Moller E.
2662
Maestrelli F.
6231

Elmer Moller defeated Francesco Maestrelli 2-6 6-2 6-3 in the Iasi CH quarter-final on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Francesco Maestrelli came in ranked #149, but Elmer Moller had been the form player, winning 2 of their last 6 on clay.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Moller E.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Maestrelli F.

Maestrelli F.serving66% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Moller E.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
64%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
48%
Service points won·Slight edge
57%
63%
Return points won·Slight edge
43%
38%
Break points saved·Slight edge
58%
63%
Aces / match·Dominant
2.3
6.1
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.6
3.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (75 vs 95). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
69
56
Break points saved·Even
81
83
Break points won·Dominant
58
14
Deciding sets·Even
81
83
Tiebreaks·Even
82
80

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
6.5+127 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.5Clay Elo 1466
5.6Overall Elo 1609
ELO gap
4.4Overall Elo 1538
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
3.8
Surface form
8.4
0.0Lost last 5
Win streak
7.04-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
8.9
Minutes 14d
3.9
7.0
3-set count
4.0
8.0
Prev. match
7.0
3.0
Surface transition
3.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
86
97

Moller E.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 19 games (7d) · Maestrelli F.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast