Carol Zhao vs Ye Xin Ma — Newport 125 Round of 32

Newport 125 · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
Carol Zhao
CAN
Carol Zhao
#432WTA
1390ELO
1380Grass ELO
31 yrs · 165 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLWLWLL
0 — 0
Sets
Monday, 7 July 2025
grass
CHN
Ye Xin Ma
#193WTA
1450ELO
1381Grass ELO
27 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLLLLLW
Zhao C.
6-3 6-3
Ma Y.
Zhao C.
662
Ma Y.
33–

Carol Zhao defeated Ye Xin Ma 6-3 6-3 in the Newport 125 round of 32 on grass.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Zhao C.serving53% hold

wins 51% of points on serve vs Ma Y.

Ma Y.serving65% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Zhao C.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Zhao C.Ma Y.
1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
57%
1st serve points won·Even
60%
63%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
41%
48%
Service points won·Even
54%
57%
Return points won·Even
43%
45%
Break points saved·Even
53%
57%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.4
2.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.1
3.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (42 vs 85). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Zhao C.Ma Y.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
10
57
Break points saved·Dominant
19
54
Break points won·Clear edge
63
80
Deciding sets·Dominant
40
76
Tiebreaks·
30
—

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Zhao C.
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 28 days (−0.3)
Ma Y.
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
4.8Grass Elo 1380
Surface ELO
5.2+1 Grass Elo edge
3.4Overall Elo 1390
ELO gap
6.6Overall Elo 1450
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
3.8
Surface form
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
Surface transition
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Zhao C.Ma Y.
Freshness·Slight edge
92
100

Zhao C.: 3 days rest · 1 match, 16 games (7d) · Ma Y.: 18 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast

Draw

Final
Mcnally C.
Maria T.
2-66-46-2
Semi-finals
Mcnally C.
Mandlik E.
1-67-56-4
Maria T.
Zhao C.
6-16-2
Quarter-finals
Maria T.
Ishii S.
6-36-1
Zhao C.
Smith A.
7-56-3
Mcnally C.
Gibson T.
6-30-66-2
Mandlik E.
Stefanini L.
6-36-1
R16
Maria T.
Miyazaki Y.
6-17-5
Ishii S.
Aiava D.
3-66-36-3
Zhao C.
Kalieva E.
6-756-36-3
Smith A.
Hartono A.
4-66-26-4
Mcnally C.
Bolkvadze M.
6-07-5
Gibson T.
Yamalapalli S.
6-36-4
Stefanini L.
Rogers A.
6-27-5
Mandlik E.
Giavara H.
6-47-5
R32
Ishii S.
Chang H.
6-14-67-5
Aiava D.
Bektas E.
6-746-37-65
Kalieva E.
Fruhvirtova L.
6-26-4
Zhao C.
Ma Y.
6-36-3
Gibson T.
Hule P.
6-46-3
Rogers A.
Bouchard E.
7-56-2
Hartono A.
Mateas M.
6-36-2
Bolkvadze M.
Akli A.
6-46-3
Stefanini L.
Ma L.
6-15-76-0
Mandlik E.
Kung L.
6-06-1
Giavara H.
Shibahara E.
3-67-56-1
Maria T.
Cross K.
6-36-3
Miyazaki Y.
Mchale C.
3-66-26-1
Mcnally C.
Vidmanova D.
6-06-2
Yamalapalli S.
Sebov K.
6-26-2
Smith A.
Lincer O.
1-66-36-2