Jule Niemeier vs Nao HibinoBastad 125 Round of 32

Bastad 125 · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#569WTA
1418ELO
1398Clay ELO
26 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLLLLLL
0 — 0
Sets
Monday, 7 July 2025
clay
#235WTA
1560ELO
1487Clay ELO
31 yrs · 163 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWLLWWLWW
Niemeier J.
6-1 6-2
Hibino N.
Niemeier J.
662
Hibino N.
12

Jule Niemeier defeated Nao Hibino 6-1 6-2 in the Bastad 125 round of 32 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Nao Hibino came in ranked #235, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Jule Niemeier claimed a first win over Nao Hibino in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-12-30AucklandR32hardNao Hibino6-3 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Niemeier J.serving40% hold

wins 46% of points on serve vs Hibino N.

Hibino N.serving50% hold

wins 50% of points on serve vs Niemeier J.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
54%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
63%
62%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
41%
47%
Service points won·Even
53%
57%
Return points won·Even
44%
44%
Break points saved·Slight edge
46%
54%
Aces / match·Even
2.5
2.2
Double faults / match·Dominant
8.1
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (51 vs 73). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
12
53
Break points saved·Slight edge
33
39
Break points won·Slight edge
82
91
Deciding sets·Dominant
9
66
Tiebreaks·Dominant
42
81

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.3
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
4.1Clay Elo 1398
Surface ELO
5.9+89 Clay Elo edge
3.7Overall Elo 1418
ELO gap
6.3Overall Elo 1560
5.0
H2H
5.0
2.9
Surface form
5.8
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.0
3.0
Surface transition
3.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
91

Hibino N.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 16 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast