Mariano Navone vs Juan Manuel CerundoloBraunschweig CH Final

Braunschweig CH · CHALLENGER · Final
#48ATP
1822ELO
1800Clay ELO
$722kYTD
$3.1MCAREER
25 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLWWWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 7 July 2025
clay
#45ATP
1790ELO
1762Clay ELO
$752kYTD
$2.4MCAREER
24 yrs · 183 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWWWWW
Navone M.
6-3 7-5
Cerundolo J.
Navone M.
672
Cerundolo J.
350

Mariano Navone defeated Juan Manuel Cerundolo 6-3 7-5 in the Braunschweig CH final on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Juan Manuel Cerundolo came in ranked #45.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Navone M.serving66% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Cerundolo J.

Cerundolo J.serving66% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Navone M.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Navone M.Cerundolo J.
0
Serve
19
95
Return
49

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
60%
1st serve points won·Even
65%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
52%
Service points won·Even
60%
62%
Return points won·Even
42%
40%
Break points saved·Even
56%
59%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.8
3.6
Double faults / match·Even
2.4
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (89 vs 107). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
75
85
Break points saved·Even
86
82
Break points won·Slight edge
90
80
Deciding sets·Clear edge
77
98
Tiebreaks·Dominant
60
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
6.0+39 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.0Clay Elo 1762
6.0Overall Elo 1822
ELO gap
4.0Overall Elo 1790
6.7No prior meetings
H2H
3.3
5.0
Surface form
7.1
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
6.6
Minutes 14d
5.4
4.0
3-set count
7.0
7.0
Prev. match
8.0
3.0
Surface transition
3.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
95
98

Navone M.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Cerundolo J.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast