Sumit Nagal vs Marco CecchinatoTrieste CH Round of 16

Trieste CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#241ATP
1543ELO
1538Clay ELO
28 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLLLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 7 July 2025
clay
#175ATP
1576ELO
1546Clay ELO
$149kYTD
$5.3MCAREER
33 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWWWWLLW
Nagal S.
6-2 6-4
Cecchinato M.
Nagal S.
662
Cecchinato M.
240

Sumit Nagal defeated Marco Cecchinato 6-2 6-4 in the Trieste CH round of 16 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Marco Cecchinato came in ranked #175, defending last year's round of 32.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Nagal S.serving66% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Cecchinato M.

Cecchinato M.serving66% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Nagal S.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
69%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
64%
67%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
48%
53%
Service points won·Even
59%
62%
Return points won·Even
42%
39%
Break points saved·Even
58%
62%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.4
2.6
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.3
2.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (83 vs 105). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
33
42
Break points saved·Clear edge
69
89
Break points won·Clear edge
35
20
Deciding sets·Clear edge
16
36
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
84
79

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.3Clay Elo 1538
Surface ELO
5.7+9 Clay Elo edge
4.1Overall Elo 1543
ELO gap
5.9Overall Elo 1576
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
4.0
Surface form
8.0
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
9.0
Minutes 14d
1.8
7.0
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
9.0
3.0
Surface transition
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
96
69

Nagal S.: 8 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Cecchinato M.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 37 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast