Andrea Picchione vs Lorenzo Carboni — Trieste CH Qualifying Round 2

Trieste CH · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round 2
ITA
Andrea Picchione
#477ATP
1324ELO
1305Clay ELO
28 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 7 July 2025
clay
ITA
Lorenzo Carboni
#471ATP
1161ELO
1166Clay ELO
20 yrs · 168 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWLWL
Picchione A.
6-4 2-6 6-0
Carboni L.
Picchione A.
6262
Carboni L.
4601

Andrea Picchione defeated Lorenzo Carboni 6-4 2-6 6-0 in the Trieste CH qualifying round 2 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Lorenzo Carboni came in ranked #471, defending last year's round of 32, but Andrea Picchione had been the form player, winning 7 of their last 10 on clay.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Picchione A.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Carboni L.

Carboni L.serving59% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Picchione A.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Picchione A.Carboni L.
1st serve in·Even
61%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
65%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
49%
Service points won·Even
59%
58%
Return points won·Even
41%
40%
Break points saved·Even
55%
52%
Aces / match·Even
1.8
2.0
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.0
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (27 vs 53). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Picchione A.
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Carboni L.
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 28 days (−0.3)
Form & Matchup
6.7+140 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.3Clay Elo 1166
7.1Overall Elo 1324
ELO gap
2.9Overall Elo 1161
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
2.8
Surface form
3.8
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
8.7
Minutes 14d
7.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Q2
Picchione A.
Carboni L.
6-42-66-0
Nagal S.[3]
Oberleitner N.[11]
6-46-2
Collarini A.[1]
Paul J.[7]
6-16-2
Michalski D.[4]
Pecci A.
7-656-4
Mrva M.
Pokorny L.[10]
6-26-3
Dodig M.[8]
Pampanin P.
6-46-0
Q1
Nagal S.[3]
Castagnola L.
6-26-1
Carboni L.
Karol M.[9]
6-25-76-4
Pecci A.
Sakellaridis S.[12]
6-26-1
Dodig M.[8]
Caniato C.
6-43-66-3
Picchione A.
Prado Angelo J.[2]
6-32-67-63
Pokorny L.[10]
Guerrieri A.
6-40-66-3
Paul J.[7]
Romano F.
7-646-2
Oberleitner N.[11]
Obradovic D.
6-26-4
Michalski D.[4]
Forti F.
6-06-4
Mrva M.
Echargui M.[5]
7-51-67-67
Pampanin P.
Brancaccio R.[6]
6-24-0