Li Tu vs Sho ShimabukuroWimbledon Qualifying Round 2

Wimbledon · ATP · Qualifying Round 2
#421ATP
1488ELO
1516Grass ELO
30 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLLWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 30 June 2025
grass
#90ATP
1672ELO
1653Grass ELO
$268kYTD
$1.0MCAREER
28 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWWWLW
Tu L.
3-6 7-6 7-6
Shimabukuro S.
Tu L.
37107112
Shimabukuro S.
668691

Li Tu defeated Sho Shimabukuro 3-6 7-6 7-6 in the Wimbledon qualifying round 2 on grass. The upset overturned the form book — Sho Shimabukuro came in ranked #90.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Tu L.serving88% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Shimabukuro S.

Shimabukuro S.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Tu L.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
60%
57%
1st serve points won·Even
74%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
52%
Service points won·Even
65%
64%
Return points won·Even
36%
38%
Break points saved·Even
59%
63%
Aces / match·Clear edge
8.0
6.2
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.4
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (62 vs 92). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
27
42
Break points saved·Slight edge
82
88
Break points won·Clear edge
8
31
Deciding sets·Dominant
20
50
Tiebreaks·Dominant
64
38

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.6Grass Elo 1516
Surface ELO
5.4+137 Grass Elo edge
3.9Overall Elo 1488
ELO gap
6.1Overall Elo 1672
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
5.5
Surface form
5.6
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
7.8
Minutes 14d
8.7
7.0
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
94

Shimabukuro S.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
29°CPartly cloudy
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 43%
Q1
Galarneau A.
Cassone M.
6-42-66-4
Garin C.[8]
Maestrelli F.[10]
6-36-4
Stricker D.
Purtseladze S.
6-36-2
Spizzirri E.[10]
Moro Canas A.
7-646-766-4
Pavlovic L.
Boyer T.
7-657-62
Van Assche L.
Cerundolo J.[3]
7-656-2
Landaluce M.
Passaro F.[31]
6-23-67-66
Tarvet O.
Atmane T.[14]
6-17-62
Habib H.
Jianu F.
4-66-17-5
Blockx A.[29]
Mena F.
7-56-1
Royer V.[6]
Huesler M.
4-66-06-2
Bonding O.
Durasovic V.
7-52-66-4
Trungelliti M.
Kachmazov A.
2-66-36-3
Kovalik J.
Escoffier A.
6-46-757-67
Cazaux A.[7]
Buse I.[31]
6-26-7116-1
Jubb P.
Tirante T.[19]
6-36-2
Smith C.
Rodriguez Taverna S.
6-46-1
Jacquet K.
Marterer M.
6-16-756-1
Mccabe J.
Gojo B.
6-47-5
Budkov Kjaer N.[8]
Bai Y.
7-636-2
Wong C.[4]
Martin Tiffon P.
6-36-4
Basilashvili N.[6]
Llamas Ruiz P.
6-34-66-3
Droguet T.
Pellegrino A.[17]
6-17-5
Fucsovics M.[1]
Rodionov J.[30]
6-46-3
Lajovic D.
Draxl L.
3-66-36-3
Bouquier A.
Gray A.
5-76-36-4
Jarry N.[32]
Kotov P.
7-656-1
Hanfmann Y.[27]
Grenier H.
7-56-2
Schoolkate T.[28]
Diaz Acosta F.[12]
6-746-16-3
Mochizuki S.
Herbert P.[17]
6-16-1
Lajal M.
Choinski J.
3-66-46-3
Faria J.
Piros Z.
6-46-2
Watanuki Y.
Monteiro T.[28]
7-696-6
Blanchet U.
Rincon D.
7-57-65
Gaubas V.
Shimizu Y.
6-726-46-4
Rocha H.[9]
Dellien Velasco M.
6-36-1
Holmgren A.[24]
Hussey G.
4-66-37-5
Stewart H.
Vacherot V.
4-65-6
Svrcina D.[15]
Jasika O.
6-16-2
Shimabukuro S.
Dougaz A.
4-66-36-4
Riedi L.
Sun F.
6-47-5
Zeppieri G.
Nagal S.
6-24-66-2
Mannarino A.[18]
Collarini A.
6-46-2
Svajda Z.
Neumayer L.
6-26-3
Kukushkin M.
Seyboth Wild T.[12]
4-66-46-3
Misolic F.[30]
Den Ouden G.
3-66-17-5
Klein L.
Kym J.
6-26-4
Onclin G.
Lestienne C.
6-24-66-4
Rodesch C.
Gigante M.[23]
6-26-4
Gomez F.[24]
Arnaboldi F.
6-46-4
Bolt A.
Mayot H.
6-36-4
Meligeni Alves F.
Guillen Meza A.
6-30-67-64
Tu L.
Galan D.[4]
6-36-2
Peniston R.
Bagnis F.
6-36-1
Skatov T.
Napolitano S.
6-16-4
Burruchaga R.[21]
Popko D.
6-26-1
Zhukayev B.
Sachko V.
7-54-67-63
Ficovich J.
Taberner C.[20]
7-606-3
Hassan B.
Ajdukovic D.
7-676-0
Uchiyama Y.
Brouwer G.
6-26-3
Daniel T.
Butvilas E.
7-686-3
Barrios Vera T.[20]
Story J.
6-06-2
Nava E.[13]
Krueger M.
7-667-63
Trotter J.
Hemery C.
7-616-4