Aryna Sabalenka vs Emma Raducanu — Wimbledon Round of 32

Wimbledon · WTA · Round of 32
Aryna Sabalenka
BLR1
Aryna Sabalenka
#1WTA
2220ELO
1987Grass ELO
$4.7MYTD
$50MCAREER
28 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 30 June 2025
grass
Emma Raducanu
GBR30
Emma Raducanu
#33WTA
1834ELO
1743Grass ELO
$605kYTD
$6.6MCAREER
23 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLLWL
Sabalenka A.
7-6 6-4
Raducanu E.
Sabalenka A.
7862
Raducanu E.
6640

Aryna Sabalenka defeated Emma Raducanu 7-6 6-4 in the Wimbledon round of 32 on grass. The result followed the form book — Aryna Sabalenka came in ranked #1, leading the head-to-head 2–0. Aryna Sabalenka extended the head-to-head to 3–0.

Key context

Head to head

2–0
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-08-07CincinnatiR32hardAryna Sabalenka7-6(3) 4-6 7-6(5)
2024-03-06Indian WellsR32hardAryna Sabalenka6-3 7-5
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Sabalenka A.serving87% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Raducanu E.

Raducanu E.serving77% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Sabalenka A.

Serve advantage — Sabalenka A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Sabalenka A.Raducanu E.
1st serve in·Even
63%
65%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
69%
64%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
52%
44%
Service points won·Slight edge
63%
57%
Return points won·Even
45%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
65%
58%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.2
3.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.2
3.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (90 vs 60). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Sabalenka A.Raducanu E.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
98
64
Break points saved·Even
98
96
Break points won·Even
100
99
Deciding sets·Dominant
97
29
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
100
83

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Sabalenka A.
8.2
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Raducanu E.
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.7+245 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.3Grass Elo 1743
10.0Overall Elo 2220
ELO gap
0.0Overall Elo 1834
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.8
Surface form
5.8
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
6.5
Minutes 14d
7.1
7.0
3-set count
4.0
8.0
Prev. match
6.0
6.3
Country comfort
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Sabalenka A.Raducanu E.
Freshness·
86
—

Sabalenka A.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 21 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
29°CPartly cloudy
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 43%

Draw

Final
Swiatek I.[3]
Anisimova A.[6]
6-06-0
Semi-finals
Anisimova A.[6]
Sabalenka A.[1]
6-44-66-4
Swiatek I.[3]
Bencic B.[11]
6-26-0
Quarter-finals
Swiatek I.[3]
Samsonova L.[19]
6-27-5
Bencic B.[11]
Andreeva M.[5]
7-637-62
Anisimova A.[6]
Pavlyuchenkova A.
6-17-69
Sabalenka A.[1]
Siegemund L.
4-66-26-4
R16
Sabalenka A.[1]
Mertens E.[25]
6-47-64
Anisimova A.[6]
Noskova L.[9]
6-25-76-4
Swiatek I.[3]
Tauson C.[24]
6-46-1
Andreeva M.[5]
Navarro E.[23]
6-26-3
Siegemund L.
Sierra S.
6-36-2
Pavlyuchenkova A.
Kartal S.
7-636-4
Bencic B.[11]
Alexandrova E.[18]
7-646-4
Samsonova L.[19]
Bouzas Maneiro J.
7-57-5
R32
Anisimova A.[6]
Galfi D.[10]
6-35-76-3
Mertens E.[25]
Svitolina E.[8]
6-17-64
Noskova L.[9]
Rakhimova K.
7-667-5
Siegemund L.
Keys M.[26]
6-36-3
Swiatek I.[3]
Collins D.
6-26-3
Pavlyuchenkova A.
Osaka N.[14]
3-66-46-4
Tauson C.[24]
Rybakina E.[2]
7-666-3
Sabalenka A.[1]
Raducanu E.[30]
7-666-4
Andreeva M.[5]
Baptiste H.
6-16-3
Bencic B.[11]
Cocciaretto E.
6-43-67-67
Navarro E.[23]
Krejcikova B.[17]
2-66-36-4
Sierra S.
Bucsa C.
7-51-66-1
Kartal S.
Parry D.
6-46-2
Alexandrova E.[18]
Sonmez Z.
6-37-61
Samsonova L.[19]
Kasatkina D.[16]
6-26-3
Bouzas Maneiro J.
Yastremska D.
6-12-66-3
R64
Kartal S.
Tomova V.
6-26-2
Galfi D.[10]
Haddad Maia B.[21]
7-676-1
Alexandrova E.[18]
Lamens S.[27]
6-46-0
Cocciaretto E.
Volynets K.[5]
6-06-4
Svitolina E.[8]
Sasnovich A.[15]
6-26-4
Pavlyuchenkova A.
Krueger A.
7-646-4
Andreeva M.[5]
Bronzetti L.[20]
6-17-64
Siegemund L.
Fernandez L.[22]
6-26-3
Rybakina E.[2]
Sakkari M.
6-36-1
Bucsa C.
Vekic D.[31]
6-16-3
Mertens E.[25]
Li A.[28]
6-756-16-2
Keys M.[26]
Danilovic O.
6-46-2
Rakhimova K.
Paolini J.[13]
4-66-46-4
Noskova L.[9]
Lys E.
6-22-66-3
Anisimova A.[6]
Zarazua R.
6-46-3
Parry D.
Shnaider D.[15]
6-46-1
Tauson C.[24]
Kalinskaya A.[19]
6-37-610
Sonmez Z.
Wang X.
7-57-5
Krejcikova B.[17]
Dolehide C.
6-43-66-2
Bouzas Maneiro J.
Kenin S.[28]
6-17-64
Sierra S.
Boulter K.
6-776-26-1
Sabalenka A.[1]
Bouzkova M.[21]
7-646-4
Raducanu E.[30]
Vondrousova M.
6-36-3
Osaka N.[14]
Siniakova K.[32]
6-36-2
Baptiste H.
Mboko V.
7-666-3
Navarro E.[23]
Kudermetova V.
6-16-2
Bencic B.[11]
Jacquemot E.
4-66-16-2
Swiatek I.[3]
Mcnally C.
5-76-26-1
Collins D.
Erjavec V.
6-46-1
Kasatkina D.[16]
Begu I.
6-24-66-1
Samsonova L.[19]
Starodubtseva Y.
6-26-1
Yastremska D.
Zakharova A.
5-77-57-68
R128
Tomova V.
Jabeur O.
7-652-0
Sasnovich A.[15]
Gracheva V.
6-46-757-68
Volynets K.[5]
Maria T.
3-67-646-1
Kudermetova V.
Zhu L.[30]
6-36-2
Krueger A.
Stojsavljevic M.
6-36-2
Shnaider D.[15]
Uchijima M.[8]
7-656-3
Bronzetti L.[20]
Teichmann J.[24]
6-47-5
Lamens S.[27]
Jovic I.[16]
6-16-1
Tauson C.[24]
Watson H.
2-66-46-3
Galfi D.[10]
Dart H.
3-66-37-5
Swiatek I.[3]
Kudermetova P.
7-56-1
Andreeva M.[5]
Sherif M.[21]
6-36-3
Bouzkova M.[21]
Sun L.[9]
6-46-4
Krejcikova B.[17]
Eala A.[29]
3-66-26-1
Paolini J.[13]
Sevastova A.
2-66-36-2
Svitolina E.[8]
Bondar A.
6-36-1
Kalinskaya A.[19]
Stojanovic N.
6-37-64
Cocciaretto E.
Pegula J.[4]
6-26-3
Anisimova A.[6]
Putintseva Y.
6-06-0
Navarro E.[23]
Kvitova P.
6-36-1
Raducanu E.[30]
Xu M.
6-36-3
Yastremska D.
Gauff C.[7]
7-636-1
Erjavec V.
Kostyuk M.[12]
3-66-36-4
Rybakina E.[2]
Avanesyan E.
6-26-1
Keys M.[26]
Ruse E.
6-747-57-5
Noskova L.[9]
Pera B.
6-26-4
Osaka N.[14]
Gibson T.
6-47-64
Siniakova K.[32]
Zheng Q.[5]
7-54-66-1
Fernandez L.[22]
Klugman H.
6-16-3
Sakkari M.
Blinkova A.
6-46-4
Bouzas Maneiro J.
Seidel E.
6-33-2
Mboko V.
Frech M.[25]
6-36-2
Mcnally C.
Burrage J.
6-36-1
Danilovic O.
Zhang S.
6-26-4
Rakhimova K.
Ito A.
5-76-36-2
Starodubtseva Y.
Jones F.
1-66-36-1
Kasatkina D.[16]
Arango E.
7-56-3
Sabalenka A.[1]
Branstine C.
6-17-5
Dolehide C.
Rus A.
6-26-2
Zakharova A.
Azarenka V.
6-22-66-1
Samsonova L.[19]
Joint M.
6-36-2
Sierra S.
Gadecki O.
6-27-68
Vondrousova M.
Kessler M.[32]
6-17-63
Mertens E.[25]
Fruhvirtova L.
6-46-2
Li A.[28]
Golubic V.
6-34-66-1
Boulter K.
Badosa P.[9]
6-23-66-4
Bucsa C.
Todoni A.
6-46-4
Vekic D.[31]
Birrell K.
6-06-4
Siegemund L.
Stearns P.
6-46-2
Lys E.
Yuan Y.[17]
6-45-76-2
Haddad Maia B.[21]
Sramkova R.[16]
7-676-4
Zarazua R.
Wickmayer Y.
6-06-3
Parry D.
Martic P.
4-66-36-2
Kartal S.
Ostapenko J.[20]
7-52-66-2
Pavlyuchenkova A.
Tomljanovic A.
4-66-36-2
Baptiste H.
Cirstea S.[17]
6-706-16-2
Wang X.
Muchova K.[10]
7-56-2
Sonmez Z.
Cristian J.
7-636-3
Alexandrova E.[18]
Hon P.
6-27-5
Jacquemot E.
Linette M.[27]
6-776-16-4
Bencic B.[11]
Parks A.
6-06-3
Collins D.
Osorio C.
6-36-2
Begu I.
Juvan K.
7-661-66-3
Kenin S.[28]
Townsend T.
7-656-2