Xin Yu Wang vs Karolina Muchova — Wimbledon Round of 128

Wimbledon · WTA · Round of 128
CHN
Xin Yu Wang
1760ELO
1698Grass ELO
24 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWLLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 30 June 2025
grass
Karolina Muchova
CZE10
Karolina Muchova
#9WTA
2066ELO
1852Grass ELO
$2.0MYTD
$12MCAREER
29 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWWWWW
Wang X.
7-5 6-2
Muchova K.
Wang X.
762
Muchova K.
520

Xin Yu Wang defeated Karolina Muchova 7-5 6-2 in the Wimbledon round of 128 on grass. The upset overturned the form book — Karolina Muchova came in leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's round of 128, but Xin Yu Wang had arrived on a 5-match winning run. Xin Yu Wang claimed a first win over Karolina Muchova in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Xin Yu Wang closed it out in two sets, 7–5 6–2.

Head to head

0–1
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-08-28US OpenR16hardKarolina Muchova6-3 5-7 6-1
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Wang X.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Muchova K.

Muchova K.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Wang X.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Wang X.Muchova K.
1st serve in·Even
63%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
49%
Service points won·Even
59%
61%
Return points won·Even
42%
42%
Break points saved·Even
57%
61%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.2
3.9
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.3
1.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (69 vs 61). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Wang X.Muchova K.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
60
95
Break points saved·Clear edge
86
98
Break points won·Clear edge
78
94
Deciding sets·Clear edge
86
98
Tiebreaks·Dominant
4
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Wang X.
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Muchova K.
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.1Grass Elo 1698
Surface ELO
5.9+154 Grass Elo edge
1.1Overall Elo 1760
ELO gap
8.9Overall Elo 2066
5.0
H2H
5.0
7.7
Surface form
4.3
9.05-match win streak
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
6.2
Minutes 14d
0.0
3-set count
9.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0
Opponent rise
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Wang X.Muchova K.
Freshness·
—
60

Muchova K.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 84 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
29°CPartly cloudy
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 43%

Draw

Final
Swiatek I.[3]
Anisimova A.[6]
6-06-0
Semi-finals
Anisimova A.[6]
Sabalenka A.[1]
6-44-66-4
Swiatek I.[3]
Bencic B.[11]
6-26-0
Quarter-finals
Swiatek I.[3]
Samsonova L.[19]
6-27-5
Bencic B.[11]
Andreeva M.[5]
7-637-62
Anisimova A.[6]
Pavlyuchenkova A.
6-17-69
Sabalenka A.[1]
Siegemund L.
4-66-26-4
R16
Sabalenka A.[1]
Mertens E.[25]
6-47-64
Anisimova A.[6]
Noskova L.[9]
6-25-76-4
Swiatek I.[3]
Tauson C.[24]
6-46-1
Andreeva M.[5]
Navarro E.[23]
6-26-3
Siegemund L.
Sierra S.
6-36-2
Pavlyuchenkova A.
Kartal S.
7-636-4
Bencic B.[11]
Alexandrova E.[18]
7-646-4
Samsonova L.[19]
Bouzas Maneiro J.
7-57-5
R32
Anisimova A.[6]
Galfi D.[10]
6-35-76-3
Mertens E.[25]
Svitolina E.[8]
6-17-64
Noskova L.[9]
Rakhimova K.
7-667-5
Siegemund L.
Keys M.[26]
6-36-3
Swiatek I.[3]
Collins D.
6-26-3
Pavlyuchenkova A.
Osaka N.[14]
3-66-46-4
Tauson C.[24]
Rybakina E.[2]
7-666-3
Sabalenka A.[1]
Raducanu E.[30]
7-666-4
Andreeva M.[5]
Baptiste H.
6-16-3
Bencic B.[11]
Cocciaretto E.
6-43-67-67
Navarro E.[23]
Krejcikova B.[17]
2-66-36-4
Sierra S.
Bucsa C.
7-51-66-1
Kartal S.
Parry D.
6-46-2
Alexandrova E.[18]
Sonmez Z.
6-37-61
Samsonova L.[19]
Kasatkina D.[16]
6-26-3
Bouzas Maneiro J.
Yastremska D.
6-12-66-3
R64
Kartal S.
Tomova V.
6-26-2
Galfi D.[10]
Haddad Maia B.[21]
7-676-1
Alexandrova E.[18]
Lamens S.[27]
6-46-0
Cocciaretto E.
Volynets K.[5]
6-06-4
Svitolina E.[8]
Sasnovich A.[15]
6-26-4
Pavlyuchenkova A.
Krueger A.
7-646-4
Andreeva M.[5]
Bronzetti L.[20]
6-17-64
Siegemund L.
Fernandez L.[22]
6-26-3
Rybakina E.[2]
Sakkari M.
6-36-1
Bucsa C.
Vekic D.[31]
6-16-3
Mertens E.[25]
Li A.[28]
6-756-16-2
Keys M.[26]
Danilovic O.
6-46-2
Rakhimova K.
Paolini J.[13]
4-66-46-4
Noskova L.[9]
Lys E.
6-22-66-3
Anisimova A.[6]
Zarazua R.
6-46-3
Parry D.
Shnaider D.[15]
6-46-1
Tauson C.[24]
Kalinskaya A.[19]
6-37-610
Sonmez Z.
Wang X.
7-57-5
Krejcikova B.[17]
Dolehide C.
6-43-66-2
Bouzas Maneiro J.
Kenin S.[28]
6-17-64
Sierra S.
Boulter K.
6-776-26-1
Sabalenka A.[1]
Bouzkova M.[21]
7-646-4
Raducanu E.[30]
Vondrousova M.
6-36-3
Osaka N.[14]
Siniakova K.[32]
6-36-2
Baptiste H.
Mboko V.
7-666-3
Navarro E.[23]
Kudermetova V.
6-16-2
Bencic B.[11]
Jacquemot E.
4-66-16-2
Swiatek I.[3]
Mcnally C.
5-76-26-1
Collins D.
Erjavec V.
6-46-1
Kasatkina D.[16]
Begu I.
6-24-66-1
Samsonova L.[19]
Starodubtseva Y.
6-26-1
Yastremska D.
Zakharova A.
5-77-57-68
R128
Tomova V.
Jabeur O.
7-652-0
Sasnovich A.[15]
Gracheva V.
6-46-757-68
Volynets K.[5]
Maria T.
3-67-646-1
Kudermetova V.
Zhu L.[30]
6-36-2
Krueger A.
Stojsavljevic M.
6-36-2
Shnaider D.[15]
Uchijima M.[8]
7-656-3
Bronzetti L.[20]
Teichmann J.[24]
6-47-5
Lamens S.[27]
Jovic I.[16]
6-16-1
Tauson C.[24]
Watson H.
2-66-46-3
Galfi D.[10]
Dart H.
3-66-37-5
Swiatek I.[3]
Kudermetova P.
7-56-1
Andreeva M.[5]
Sherif M.[21]
6-36-3
Bouzkova M.[21]
Sun L.[9]
6-46-4
Krejcikova B.[17]
Eala A.[29]
3-66-26-1
Paolini J.[13]
Sevastova A.
2-66-36-2
Svitolina E.[8]
Bondar A.
6-36-1
Kalinskaya A.[19]
Stojanovic N.
6-37-64
Cocciaretto E.
Pegula J.[4]
6-26-3
Anisimova A.[6]
Putintseva Y.
6-06-0
Navarro E.[23]
Kvitova P.
6-36-1
Raducanu E.[30]
Xu M.
6-36-3
Yastremska D.
Gauff C.[7]
7-636-1
Erjavec V.
Kostyuk M.[12]
3-66-36-4
Rybakina E.[2]
Avanesyan E.
6-26-1
Keys M.[26]
Ruse E.
6-747-57-5
Noskova L.[9]
Pera B.
6-26-4
Osaka N.[14]
Gibson T.
6-47-64
Siniakova K.[32]
Zheng Q.[5]
7-54-66-1
Fernandez L.[22]
Klugman H.
6-16-3
Sakkari M.
Blinkova A.
6-46-4
Bouzas Maneiro J.
Seidel E.
6-33-2
Mboko V.
Frech M.[25]
6-36-2
Mcnally C.
Burrage J.
6-36-1
Danilovic O.
Zhang S.
6-26-4
Rakhimova K.
Ito A.
5-76-36-2
Starodubtseva Y.
Jones F.
1-66-36-1
Kasatkina D.[16]
Arango E.
7-56-3
Sabalenka A.[1]
Branstine C.
6-17-5
Dolehide C.
Rus A.
6-26-2
Zakharova A.
Azarenka V.
6-22-66-1
Samsonova L.[19]
Joint M.
6-36-2
Sierra S.
Gadecki O.
6-27-68
Vondrousova M.
Kessler M.[32]
6-17-63
Mertens E.[25]
Fruhvirtova L.
6-46-2
Li A.[28]
Golubic V.
6-34-66-1
Boulter K.
Badosa P.[9]
6-23-66-4
Bucsa C.
Todoni A.
6-46-4
Vekic D.[31]
Birrell K.
6-06-4
Siegemund L.
Stearns P.
6-46-2
Lys E.
Yuan Y.[17]
6-45-76-2
Haddad Maia B.[21]
Sramkova R.[16]
7-676-4
Zarazua R.
Wickmayer Y.
6-06-3
Parry D.
Martic P.
4-66-36-2
Kartal S.
Ostapenko J.[20]
7-52-66-2
Pavlyuchenkova A.
Tomljanovic A.
4-66-36-2
Baptiste H.
Cirstea S.[17]
6-706-16-2
Wang X.
Muchova K.[10]
7-56-2
Sonmez Z.
Cristian J.
7-636-3
Alexandrova E.[18]
Hon P.
6-27-5
Jacquemot E.
Linette M.[27]
6-776-16-4
Bencic B.[11]
Parks A.
6-06-3
Collins D.
Osorio C.
6-36-2
Begu I.
Juvan K.
7-661-66-3
Kenin S.[28]
Townsend T.
7-656-2