Hiroki Moriya vs Rio NoguchiCary CH Round of 32

Cary CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#507ATP
1353ELO
1321Hard ELO
35 yrs · 168 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWLLLL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 30 June 2025
hard
#222ATP
1532ELO
1513Hard ELO
27 yrs · 168 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLLLWWLWL
Moriya H.
7-5 2-6 6-3
Noguchi R.
Moriya H.
7262
Noguchi R.
5631

Hiroki Moriya defeated Rio Noguchi 7-5 2-6 6-3 in the Cary CH round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Rio Noguchi came in ranked #222, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Hiroki Moriya claimed a first win over Rio Noguchi in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Hiroki Moriya closed it out in three sets, 7–5 2–6 6–3.

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-09-20ChengduQ1hardRio Noguchi7-5 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Moriya H.serving70% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Noguchi R.

Noguchi R.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Moriya H.

Serve advantage — Noguchi R.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
58%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
51%
Service points won·Even
59%
61%
Return points won·Even
40%
40%
Break points saved·Even
56%
57%
Aces / match·Even
2.1
1.8
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.2
1.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (63 vs 91). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
1
23
Break points saved·Slight edge
35
25
Break points won·Clear edge
9
26
Deciding sets·Dominant
29
84
Tiebreaks·Even
5
4

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 28 days (−0.3)
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 28 days (−0.3)
Form & Matchup
2.6Hard Elo 1321
Surface ELO
7.4+192 Hard Elo edge
2.6Overall Elo 1353
ELO gap
7.4Overall Elo 1532
3.3
H2H
6.7
2.9
Surface form
6.6
0.0Lost last 5
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
4.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
56
68

Moriya H.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 84 games (7d) · Noguchi R.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 60 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast