Rei Sakamoto vs Nicolas Mejia — Cary CH Round of 32

Cary CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
JPN
Rei Sakamoto
#161ATP
1608ELO
1589Hard ELO
$233kYTD
$492kCAREER
20 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLLWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 30 June 2025
hard
Nicolas Mejia
COL7
Nicolas Mejia
#133ATP
1477ELO
1424Hard ELO
$142kYTD
$524kCAREER
26 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWLWWWW
Sakamoto R.
6-7 6-3 6-3
Mejia N.
Sakamoto R.
68662
Mejia N.
710331

Rei Sakamoto defeated Nicolas Mejia 6-7 6-3 6-3 in the Cary CH round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Nicolas Mejia came in ranked #133.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Sakamoto R.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Mejia N.

Mejia N.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Sakamoto R.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Sakamoto R.Mejia N.
1st serve in·Even
63%
60%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
51%
Service points won·Even
65%
62%
Return points won·Even
37%
39%
Break points saved·Even
60%
62%
Aces / match·Clear edge
6.9
4.2
Double faults / match·Even
2.1
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (87 vs 96). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Sakamoto R.Mejia N.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
49
26
Break points saved·Clear edge
87
74
Break points won·Even
8
6
Deciding sets·Dominant
93
40
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
23
38

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Sakamoto R.
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Mejia N.
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.6+166 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.4Hard Elo 1424
6.2Overall Elo 1608
ELO gap
3.8Overall Elo 1477
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
5.2
Surface form
4.3
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.4
Minutes 14d
5.5
7.0
3-set count
7.0
4.0
Prev. match
7.0
6.0
Surface transition
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Sakamoto R.Mejia N.
Freshness·Dominant
95
55

Sakamoto R.: 12 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Mejia N.: 2 days rest · 5 matches, 116 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Final
Sakamoto R.
Draxl L.[2]
6-16-4
Semi-finals
Sakamoto R.
Kypson P.[8]
7-617-66
Draxl L.[2]
Wu Y.
6-46-2
Quarter-finals
Sakamoto R.
Schoolkate T.[1]
7-626-4
Kypson P.[8]
Galarneau A.[4]
5-76-36-4
Draxl L.[2]
Mayo A.
6-27-5
Wu Y.
Zheng M.
6-26-3
R16
Sakamoto R.
Maloney P.
3-66-16-2
Wu Y.
Bigun K.
7-56-2
Galarneau A.[4]
Martin A.
2-66-36-3
Draxl L.[2]
Sheehy J.
6-26-2
Kypson P.[8]
Sell K.
7-636-3
Zheng M.
Glinka D.
6-46-4
Schoolkate T.[1]
Ilagan A.
6-13-66-2
Mayo A.
Moriya H.
6-46-4
R32
Sell K.
Nakagawa N.
6-17-5
Ilagan A.
Rybakov A.
7-57-5
Schoolkate T.[1]
Zhou Y.
7-656-746-1
Bigun K.
Tomic B.[9]
6-46-4
Zheng M.
Jasika O.[3]
6-26-2
Mayo A.
Andrade A.
6-16-3
Draxl L.[2]
Sekulic P.
6-26-2
Moriya H.
Noguchi R.[6]
7-52-66-3
Galarneau A.[4]
Roh H.
7-627-61
Martin A.
Dostanic S.
6-45-76-3
Maloney P.
Kirchheimer S.
6-23-67-66
Sheehy J.
Wu T.
7-56-2
Wu Y.
Mayew I.
6-36-3
Kypson P.[8]
Imamura M.
6-36-4
Glinka D.
Manning W.
6-756-36-4
Sakamoto R.
Mejia N.[7]
6-786-36-3