Aidan Mayo vs Hiroki MoriyaCary CH Round of 16

Cary CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#561ATP
1380ELO
1359Hard ELO
23 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 30 June 2025
hard
#472ATP
1353ELO
1321Hard ELO
35 yrs · 168 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWLWLLLLL
Mayo A.
6-4 6-4
Moriya H.
Mayo A.
662
Moriya H.
440

Aidan Mayo defeated Hiroki Moriya 6-4 6-4 in the Cary CH round of 16 on hard.

Key context

  • Match story: Aidan Mayo edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–4.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Mayo A.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Moriya H.

Moriya H.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Mayo A.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
55%
58%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
72%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
49%
Service points won·Even
63%
59%
Return points won·Even
38%
40%
Break points saved·Even
58%
56%
Aces / match·Dominant
5.9
2.1
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.2
3.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (43 vs 63). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
12
1
Break points saved·Dominant
68
35
Break points won·Slight edge
1
9
Deciding sets·Clear edge
7
29
Tiebreaks·Dominant
52
6

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 28 days (−0.3)
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 28 days (−0.3)
Form & Matchup
5.1+38 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.9Hard Elo 1321
5.0Overall Elo 1380
ELO gap
5.0Overall Elo 1353
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
4.1
Surface form
2.9
0.0Lost last 4
Win streak
0.0Lost last 5
Fatigue & Travel
7.0
Prev. match
4.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
87
82

Mayo A.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 34 games (7d) · Moriya H.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 49 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast