Rei Sakamoto vs Patrick Kypson — Cary CH Semi-final

Cary CH · CHALLENGER · Semi-final
JPN
Rei Sakamoto
#161ATP
1608ELO
1589Hard ELO
$233kYTD
$492kCAREER
20 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 30 June 2025
hard
Patrick Kypson
USA8
Patrick Kypson
#112ATP
1641ELO
1611Hard ELO
$260kYTD
$1.1MCAREER
26 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLLWWL
Sakamoto R.
7-6 7-6
Kypson P.
Sakamoto R.
77782
Kypson P.
61660

Rei Sakamoto defeated Patrick Kypson 7-6 7-6 in the Cary CH semi-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Patrick Kypson came in ranked #112.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Sakamoto R.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Kypson P.

Kypson P.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Sakamoto R.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Sakamoto R.Kypson P.
1st serve in·Even
63%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
54%
Service points won·Even
65%
67%
Return points won·Even
37%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
61%
68%
Aces / match·Even
6.9
7.1
Double faults / match·Even
2.1
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (87 vs 82). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Sakamoto R.Kypson P.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
49
42
Break points saved·Slight edge
87
93
Break points won·Dominant
8
41
Deciding sets·Dominant
93
17
Tiebreaks·Dominant
23
77

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Sakamoto R.
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
Kypson P.
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 28 days (−0.3)
Form & Matchup
5.0Hard Elo 1589
Surface ELO
5.0+22 Hard Elo edge
5.1Overall Elo 1608
ELO gap
4.9Overall Elo 1641
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
5.2
Surface form
8.5
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.4
Minutes 14d
7.0
3-set count
4.0
Prev. match
8.0
6.0
Surface transition
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Sakamoto R.Kypson P.
Freshness·Even
95
93

Sakamoto R.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Kypson P.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Final
Sakamoto R.
Draxl L.[2]
6-16-4
Semi-finals
Sakamoto R.
Kypson P.[8]
7-617-66
Draxl L.[2]
Wu Y.
6-46-2
Quarter-finals
Sakamoto R.
Schoolkate T.[1]
7-626-4
Kypson P.[8]
Galarneau A.[4]
5-76-36-4
Draxl L.[2]
Mayo A.
6-27-5
Wu Y.
Zheng M.
6-26-3
R16
Sakamoto R.
Maloney P.
3-66-16-2
Wu Y.
Bigun K.
7-56-2
Galarneau A.[4]
Martin A.
2-66-36-3
Draxl L.[2]
Sheehy J.
6-26-2
Kypson P.[8]
Sell K.
7-636-3
Zheng M.
Glinka D.
6-46-4
Schoolkate T.[1]
Ilagan A.
6-13-66-2
Mayo A.
Moriya H.
6-46-4
R32
Sell K.
Nakagawa N.
6-17-5
Ilagan A.
Rybakov A.
7-57-5
Schoolkate T.[1]
Zhou Y.
7-656-746-1
Bigun K.
Tomic B.[9]
6-46-4
Zheng M.
Jasika O.[3]
6-26-2
Mayo A.
Andrade A.
6-16-3
Draxl L.[2]
Sekulic P.
6-26-2
Moriya H.
Noguchi R.[6]
7-52-66-3
Galarneau A.[4]
Roh H.
7-627-61
Martin A.
Dostanic S.
6-45-76-3
Maloney P.
Kirchheimer S.
6-23-67-66
Sheehy J.
Wu T.
7-56-2
Wu Y.
Mayew I.
6-36-3
Kypson P.[8]
Imamura M.
6-36-4
Glinka D.
Manning W.
6-756-36-4
Sakamoto R.
Mejia N.[7]
6-786-36-3