Ye Xin Ma vs Elvina Kalieva — W100 Cary NC Quarter-final

W100 Cary NC · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
CHN
Ye Xin Ma
#193WTA
1450ELO
1441Hard ELO
27 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLLLLLW
0 — 0
Sets
Monday, 30 June 2025
hard
USA
Elvina Kalieva
#136WTA
1569ELO
1540Hard ELO
22 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLWWLLW
Ma Y.
6-1 6-0
Kalieva E.
Ma Y.
662
Kalieva E.
10–

Ye Xin Ma defeated Elvina Kalieva 6-1 6-0 in the W100 Cary NC quarter-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Elvina Kalieva came in ranked #136.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Ma Y.serving54% hold

wins 52% of points on serve vs Kalieva E.

Kalieva E.serving52% hold

wins 51% of points on serve vs Ma Y.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Ma Y.Kalieva E.
1st serve in·Even
58%
57%
1st serve points won·Even
63%
65%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
46%
Service points won·Even
57%
56%
Return points won·Even
45%
45%
Break points saved·Even
56%
52%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.3
3.3
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.3
4.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (85 vs 88). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Ma Y.Kalieva E.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
57
18
Break points saved·Dominant
54
28
Break points won·Slight edge
80
87
Deciding sets·Dominant
76
36
Tiebreaks·
—
15

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Ma Y.
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Kalieva E.
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 28 days (−0.3)
Form & Matchup
4.4Hard Elo 1441
Surface ELO
5.6+98 Hard Elo edge
4.0Overall Elo 1450
ELO gap
6.0Overall Elo 1569
0.0No prior meetings
H2H
10.0
5.7
Surface form
3.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Ma Y.Kalieva E.
Freshness·Even
100
100

Ma Y.: 19 days rest · Kalieva E.: 18 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast

Draw

Final
Vidmanova D.
Ekstrand M.
6-36-1
Semi-finals
Vidmanova D.
Ma Y.
6-17-5
Ekstrand M.
Brace C.
6-46-0
Quarter-finals
Ma Y.
Kalieva E.
6-16-0
Vidmanova D.
Sonobe W.
6-796-36-0
Brace C.
Stefanini L.
7-656-2
Ekstrand M.
Mandlik E.
5-76-46-2
R16
Ma Y.
Hartono A.
6-46-1
Stefanini L.
Mateas M.
6-46-4
Brace C.
You X.
5-76-06-2
Kalieva E.
Yamaguchi M.
6-16-3
Ekstrand M.
Bolkvadze M.
2-67-636-3
Mandlik E.
Rogers A.
4-66-26-1
Sonobe W.
Gailis R.
6-04-66-1
Vidmanova D.
Brengle M.
1-0
R32
Bolkvadze M.
Crawley F.
6-36-1
Mateas M.
Ma L.
6-46-4
Vidmanova D.
Cross K.
3-66-46-1
Brace C.
Brantmeier R.
6-17-65
Mandlik E.
Aiava D.
3-66-37-63
Ma Y.
Arconada U.
6-16-2
Gailis R.
Osuigwe W.
6-37-5
Ekstrand M.
Stoiana M.
2-67-56-2
Yamaguchi M.
Hu V.
6-26-4
You X.
Kung L.
6-37-5
Sonobe W.
Crossley M.
7-623-66-4
Stefanini L.
Bektas E.
7-56-3
Brengle M.
Sakatsume H.
1-66-16-4
Kalieva E.
Chang H.
6-16-3
Rogers A.
Jones M.
6-26-3
Hartono A.
Zampardo M.
6-16-4