Liam Draxl vs Yibing WuCary CH Semi-final

Cary CH · CHALLENGER · Semi-final
#223ATP
1592ELO
1565Hard ELO
$201kYTD
$642kCAREER
24 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 30 June 2025
hard
#106ATP
1743ELO
1741Hard ELO
$472kYTD
$1.9MCAREER
26 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLLLLWLLW
Draxl L.
6-4 6-2
Wu Y.
Draxl L.
662
Wu Y.
420

Liam Draxl defeated Yibing Wu 6-4 6-2 in the Cary CH semi-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Yibing Wu came in ranked #106.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Draxl L.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Wu Y.

Wu Y.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Draxl L.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Draxl L.Wu Y.
Serve
27
Return
26

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
71%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
48%
54%
Service points won·Even
62%
64%
Return points won·Even
40%
40%
Break points saved·Even
60%
61%
Aces / match·Even
4.1
3.9
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.3
2.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (108 vs 62). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
66
82
Break points saved·Slight edge
83
94
Break points won·Clear edge
36
57
Deciding sets·Even
94
97
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
75
97

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Injury return: 28 days (−0.3)
7.3
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 28 days (−0.3)
Form & Matchup
2.4Hard Elo 1565
Surface ELO
7.6+176 Hard Elo edge
2.4Overall Elo 1592
ELO gap
7.6Overall Elo 1743
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
4.9
Surface form
9.3
0.0
Win streak
9.07-match win streak
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
98
71

Draxl L.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Wu Y.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 50 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast