Federico Cina vs Juan Manuel CerundoloModena CH Quarter-final

Modena CH · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
#184ATP
1630ELO
1590Clay ELO
$293kYTD
$533kCAREER
19 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLLLWLWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 30 June 2025
clay
#45ATP
1790ELO
1762Clay ELO
$752kYTD
$2.4MCAREER
24 yrs · 183 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWWWWW
Cina F.
4-6 7-6 6-1
Cerundolo J.
Cina F.
471062
Cerundolo J.
66811

Federico Cina defeated Juan Manuel Cerundolo 4-6 7-6 6-1 in the Modena CH quarter-final on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Juan Manuel Cerundolo came in ranked #45.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Cina F.serving70% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Cerundolo J.

Cerundolo J.serving72% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Cina F.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Cina F.Cerundolo J.
Serve
19
Return
49

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
60%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
52%
Service points won·Even
62%
62%
Return points won·Even
39%
40%
Break points saved·Slight edge
64%
59%
Aces / match·Even
3.1
3.6
Double faults / match·Even
2.4
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (70 vs 107). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
42
85
Break points saved·Slight edge
87
82
Break points won·Dominant
32
80
Deciding sets·Dominant
52
98
Tiebreaks·Dominant
28
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
2.2Clay Elo 1590
Surface ELO
7.8+172 Clay Elo edge
2.8Overall Elo 1630
ELO gap
7.2Overall Elo 1790
0.0No prior meetings
H2H
10.0
1.3
Surface form
6.2
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
9.3
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
6.0
Surface transition
3.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
69
98

Cina F.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 71 games (7d) · Cerundolo J.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast