Madison Brengle vs Himeno Sakatsume — W100 Cary NC Round of 32

W100 Cary NC · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
Madison Brengle
USA
Madison Brengle
#223WTA
1575ELO
1539Hard ELO
36 yrs · 168 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 30 June 2025
hard
JPN
Himeno Sakatsume
#123WTA
1611ELO
1599Hard ELO
24 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLLLLWW
Brengle M.
1-6 6-1 6-4
Sakatsume H.
Brengle M.
1662
Sakatsume H.
6141

Madison Brengle defeated Himeno Sakatsume 1-6 6-1 6-4 in the W100 Cary NC round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Himeno Sakatsume came in ranked #123.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Brengle M.serving40% hold

wins 46% of points on serve vs Sakatsume H.

Sakatsume H.serving45% hold

wins 48% of points on serve vs Brengle M.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Brengle M.Sakatsume H.
1st serve in·Clear edge
78%
66%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
56%
63%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
49%
Service points won·Slight edge
53%
58%
Return points won·Even
50%
47%
Break points saved·Even
51%
55%
Aces / match·Clear edge
0.2
1.8
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.2
1.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (55 vs 92). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Brengle M.Sakatsume H.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
7
62
Break points saved·Dominant
7
64
Break points won·Even
98
97
Deciding sets·Dominant
8
62
Tiebreaks·
46
—

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Brengle M.
4.2
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 42 days (−0.7)
Sakatsume H.
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.0Hard Elo 1539
Surface ELO
6.0+60 Hard Elo edge
4.0Overall Elo 1575
ELO gap
6.0Overall Elo 1611
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
4.4
Surface form
4.6
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
6.0
Surface transition
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Brengle M.Sakatsume H.
Freshness·Clear edge
76
100

Brengle M.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 55 games (7d) · Sakatsume H.: 19 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast

Draw

Final
Vidmanova D.
Ekstrand M.
6-36-1
Semi-finals
Vidmanova D.
Ma Y.
6-17-5
Ekstrand M.
Brace C.
6-46-0
Quarter-finals
Ma Y.
Kalieva E.
6-16-0
Vidmanova D.
Sonobe W.
6-796-36-0
Brace C.
Stefanini L.
7-656-2
Ekstrand M.
Mandlik E.
5-76-46-2
R16
Ma Y.
Hartono A.
6-46-1
Stefanini L.
Mateas M.
6-46-4
Brace C.
You X.
5-76-06-2
Kalieva E.
Yamaguchi M.
6-16-3
Ekstrand M.
Bolkvadze M.
2-67-636-3
Mandlik E.
Rogers A.
4-66-26-1
Sonobe W.
Gailis R.
6-04-66-1
Vidmanova D.
Brengle M.
1-0
R32
Bolkvadze M.
Crawley F.
6-36-1
Mateas M.
Ma L.
6-46-4
Vidmanova D.
Cross K.
3-66-46-1
Brace C.
Brantmeier R.
6-17-65
Mandlik E.
Aiava D.
3-66-37-63
Ma Y.
Arconada U.
6-16-2
Gailis R.
Osuigwe W.
6-37-5
Ekstrand M.
Stoiana M.
2-67-56-2
Yamaguchi M.
Hu V.
6-26-4
You X.
Kung L.
6-37-5
Sonobe W.
Crossley M.
7-623-66-4
Stefanini L.
Bektas E.
7-56-3
Brengle M.
Sakatsume H.
1-66-16-4
Kalieva E.
Chang H.
6-16-3
Rogers A.
Jones M.
6-26-3
Hartono A.
Zampardo M.
6-16-4