Federico Cina vs Daniel Merida Aguilar — Modena CH Round of 16

Modena CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
ITA
Federico Cina
#184ATP
1630ELO
1590Clay ELO
$293kYTD
$533kCAREER
19 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLLLWLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 30 June 2025
clay
ESP
Daniel Merida Aguilar
1744ELO
1700Clay ELO
21 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWWLWW
Cina F.
6-0 6-1
Merida Aguilar D.
Cina F.
662
Merida Aguilar D.
010

Federico Cina defeated Daniel Merida Aguilar 6-0 6-1 in the Modena CH round of 16 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Daniel Merida Aguilar came in defending last year's round of 32.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Cina F.serving68% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Merida Aguilar D.

Merida Aguilar D.serving68% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Cina F.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Cina F.Merida Aguilar D.
1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
69%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
70%
65%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
49%
Service points won·Even
62%
60%
Return points won·Even
39%
41%
Break points saved·Even
63%
60%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.1
2.3
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.4
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (70 vs 97). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Cina F.Merida Aguilar D.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
42
55
Break points saved·Clear edge
87
64
Break points won·Clear edge
32
46
Deciding sets·Dominant
52
87
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
28
49

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Cina F.
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Merida Aguilar D.
7.7
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
1.6Clay Elo 1590
Surface ELO
8.4+110 Clay Elo edge
1.7Overall Elo 1630
ELO gap
8.3Overall Elo 1744
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
1.3
Surface form
7.8
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
5.2
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
8.0
6.0
Surface transition
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Cina F.Merida Aguilar D.
Freshness·Clear edge
69
93

Cina F.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 71 games (7d) · Merida Aguilar D.: 12 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Final
Travaglia S.
Seyboth Wild T.[4]
6-46-3
Semi-finals
Travaglia S.
Cina F.
1-66-36-4
Seyboth Wild T.[4]
Kym J.
6-757-646-4
Quarter-finals
Cina F.
Cerundolo J.[3]
4-67-686-1
Travaglia S.
Pellegrino A.
6-46-726-2
Kym J.
Cecchinato M.
6-36-0
Seyboth Wild T.[4]
Sakellaridis S.
6-36-757-64
R16
Sakellaridis S.
Echargui M.
3-66-36-4
Kym J.
Taberner C.[1]
6-23-67-63
Cina F.
Merida Aguilar D.
6-06-1
Travaglia S.
Tirante T.[6]
2-67-657-63
Cecchinato M.
Houkes M.
6-36-4
Seyboth Wild T.[4]
Kodat T.
7-57-64
Cerundolo J.[3]
Diaz Acosta F.
7-616-3
Pellegrino A.
Galan D.[2]
6-27-62
R32
Taberner C.[1]
Geerts M.
6-47-5
Cecchinato M.
Monteiro T.
7-613-66-1
Houkes M.
Gomez F.[8]
6-46-3
Echargui M.
Boyer T.[5]
6-37-5
Cina F.
Poljicak M.
7-51-66-3
Diaz Acosta F.
Zahraj P.
6-16-4
Seyboth Wild T.[4]
Alcala Gurri M.
6-16-2
Sakellaridis S.
Bondioli F.
6-47-65
Merida Aguilar D.
Burruchaga R.[7]
6-26-4
Kodat T.
Collarini A.
1-66-37-66
Kym J.
Parenti L.
6-26-4
Pellegrino A.
Thanos A.
6-46-4
Galan D.[2]
Arnaboldi F.
6-16-1
Tirante T.[6]
Buse I.
6-16-2
Cerundolo J.[3]
Dodig M.
6-36-2
Travaglia S.
Blancaneaux G.
7-646-4