Rafael Jodar vs Arthur GeaMilan CH Quarter-final

Milan CH · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
#25ATP
1999ELO
1949Clay ELO
$1.6MYTD
$1.9MCAREER
19 yrs · 191 cm
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 23 June 2025
clay
#137ATP
1597ELO
1521Clay ELO
$352kYTD
$604kCAREER
21 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLWLWL
Jodar R.
6-0 2-6 6-3
Gea A.
Jodar R.
6262
Gea A.
0631

Rafael Jodar defeated Arthur Gea 6-0 2-6 6-3 in the Milan CH quarter-final on clay. The result followed the form book — Rafael Jodar came in ranked #25.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Jodar R.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Gea A.

Gea A.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Jodar R.

Serve advantage — Jodar R.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Jodar R.Gea A.
60
Serve
89
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
60%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
70%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
55%
49%
Service points won·Even
65%
61%
Return points won·Even
42%
40%
Break points saved·Even
61%
61%
Aces / match·Even
3.9
4.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.6
3.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (92 vs 72). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
86
38
Break points saved·Slight edge
91
81
Break points won·Dominant
71
27
Deciding sets·Dominant
100
26
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
93
85

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
9.9+428 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.1Clay Elo 1521
9.5Overall Elo 1999
ELO gap
0.5Overall Elo 1597
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
Surface form
4.7
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
4.9
3-set count
0.0
4.0
Prev. match
7.0
6.0
Surface transition
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
89
75

Jodar R.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Gea A.: 4 days rest · 3 matches, 72 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast