Leylah Fernandez vs Tatjana MariaBad Homburg Round of 32

Bad Homburg · WTA · Round of 32
#24WTA
1805ELO
1661Grass ELO
$787kYTD
$8.1MCAREER
23 yrs · 168 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLLLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Sunday, 22 June 2025
grass
#96WTA
1703ELO
1688Grass ELO
38 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWLWLWWW
Fernandez L.
6-0 7-6
Maria T.
Fernandez L.
6772
Maria T.
0610

Leylah Fernandez defeated Tatjana Maria 6-0 7-6 in the Bad Homburg round of 32 on grass. The upset overturned the form book — Tatjana Maria came in leading the head-to-head 3–0, defending last year's round of 32. Leylah Fernandez claimed a first win over Tatjana Maria in four meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 3–1.

Key context

Head to head

03
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-06-09Queen's ClubR32grassTatjana Maria7-6(4) 6-2
2024-02-26San DiegoR32hardTatjana Maria6-7(7) 4-0 RET
2023-08-21ClevelandQFhardTatjana Maria6-3 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Fernandez L.serving87% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Maria T.

Maria T.serving81% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Fernandez L.

Serve advantage — Fernandez L.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
65%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
45%
Service points won·Even
60%
57%
Return points won·Even
43%
42%
Break points saved·Slight edge
60%
51%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.4
4.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.9
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (76 vs 77). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
87
13
Break points saved·Dominant
95
31
Break points won·Clear edge
95
78
Deciding sets·Dominant
90
9
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
75
58

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.1Grass Elo 1661
Surface ELO
3.9+26 Grass Elo edge
8.2Overall Elo 1805
ELO gap
1.8Overall Elo 1703
0.0
H2H
10.0
5.6
Surface form
8.0
Win streak
9.07-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
5.2
Minutes 14d
4.6
7.0
3-set count
7.0
6.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
98
69

Fernandez L.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Maria T.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 63 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
28°CClear
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 34%