Mia Ristic vs Maria TimofeevaW75 Zagreb Round of 32

W75 Zagreb · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#266WTA
1504ELO
1479Clay ELO
20 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWWLLLLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 16 June 2025
clay
#79WTA
1696ELO
1688Clay ELO
22 yrs · 167 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWW
Ristic M.
7-5 4-6 6-3
Timofeeva M.
Ristic M.
7462
Timofeeva M.
5631

Mia Ristic defeated Maria Timofeeva 7-5 4-6 6-3 in the W75 Zagreb round of 32 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Maria Timofeeva came in ranked #79, but Mia Ristic had arrived on a 3-match winning run.

Key context

  • Match story: Mia Ristic closed it out in three sets, 7–5 4–6 6–3.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Ristic M.serving37% hold

wins 45% of points on serve vs Timofeeva M.

Timofeeva M.serving42% hold

wins 47% of points on serve vs Ristic M.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
68%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
60%
61%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
47%
Service points won·Even
56%
56%
Return points won·Even
46%
48%
Break points saved·Even
53%
54%
Aces / match·Even
1.3
1.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
0.9
2.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (83 vs 90). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
19
54
Break points saved·Dominant
35
76
Break points won·Dominant
54
96
Deciding sets·Clear edge
45
59
Tiebreaks·
20

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.1Clay Elo 1479
Surface ELO
5.9+209 Clay Elo edge
4.1Overall Elo 1504
ELO gap
5.9Overall Elo 1696
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
6.9
Surface form
4.2
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
4.0
3-set count
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
95

Timofeeva M.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast

Draw