Shintaro Mochizuki vs Colton SmithNottingham 2 CH Semi-final

Nottingham 2 CH · CHALLENGER · Semi-final
#115ATP
1475ELO
1520Grass ELO
$243kYTD
$1.6MCAREER
23 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 16 June 2025
grass
#181ATP
1577ELO
1543Grass ELO
$154kYTD
$480kCAREER
23 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLLWWW
Mochizuki S.
6-2 6-2
Smith C.
Mochizuki S.
662
Smith C.
220

Shintaro Mochizuki defeated Colton Smith 6-2 6-2 in the Nottingham 2 CH semi-final on grass. The result followed the form book — Shintaro Mochizuki came in ranked #115.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Mochizuki S.serving77% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Smith C.

Smith C.serving81% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Mochizuki S.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
54%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
69%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
47%
52%
Service points won·Even
59%
63%
Return points won·Even
41%
39%
Break points saved·Slight edge
57%
64%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.2
5.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.3
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (87 vs 80). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
52
62
Break points saved·Clear edge
74
94
Break points won·Even
55
52
Deciding sets·Dominant
47
92
Tiebreaks·Dominant
80
8

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
4.3
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
5.9Grass Elo 1520
Surface ELO
4.1+23 Grass Elo edge
5.2Overall Elo 1475
ELO gap
4.8Overall Elo 1577
10.0No prior meetings
H2H
0.0
4.5
Surface form
5.9
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
5.8
Minutes 14d
3.9
4.0
3-set count
0.0
8.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
86
100

Mochizuki S.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Smith C.: 19 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast