Aryna Sabalenka vs Rebeka MasarovaBerlin Round of 16

Berlin · WTA · Round of 16
#1WTA
2220ELO
1987Grass ELO
$4.7MYTD
$50MCAREER
28 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 16 June 2025
grass
#155WTA
1773ELO
1703Grass ELO
26 yrs · 186 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWLWWW
Sabalenka A.
6-2 7-6
Masarova R.
Sabalenka A.
6782
Masarova R.
2660

Aryna Sabalenka defeated Rebeka Masarova 6-2 7-6 in the Berlin round of 16 on grass. The result followed the form book — Aryna Sabalenka came in ranked #1, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's quarter-final. Aryna Sabalenka extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-08-25US OpenR128hardAryna Sabalenka7-5 6-1

Serve vs return

This season
Sabalenka A.serving92% hold

wins 71% of points on serve vs Masarova R.

Masarova R.serving85% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Sabalenka A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
60%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
72%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
52%
46%
Service points won·Even
63%
62%
Return points won·Even
45%
41%
Break points saved·Slight edge
65%
59%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.2
6.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.2
4.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (90 vs 82). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
98
66
Break points saved·Slight edge
98
91
Break points won·Dominant
100
72
Deciding sets·Clear edge
97
85
Tiebreaks·Dominant
100
35

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.4
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
3.2
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
10.0+284 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.0Grass Elo 1703
10.0Overall Elo 2220
ELO gap
0.0Overall Elo 1773
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.8
Surface form
5.0
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
0.0
5.8
Country comfort
3.0
Surface transition
Context
7.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
88
81

Sabalenka A.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 21 games (7d) · Masarova R.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 55 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
19°CDrizzle
Wind 21 km/hHumidity 62%