Dusan Lajovic vs Francesco MaestrelliSassuolo CH Quarter-final

Sassuolo CH · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
#152ATP
1620ELO
1588Clay ELO
$208kYTD
$11MCAREER
36 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWLWLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 16 June 2025
clay
#149ATP
1538ELO
1466Clay ELO
$297kYTD
$881kCAREER
23 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLLWLL
Lajovic D.
6-4 7-6
Maestrelli F.
Lajovic D.
6772
Maestrelli F.
4640

Dusan Lajovic defeated Francesco Maestrelli 6-4 7-6 in the Sassuolo CH quarter-final on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Francesco Maestrelli came in ranked #149, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's round of 32, but Dusan Lajovic had been the form player, winning 2 of their last 6 on clay. Dusan Lajovic claimed a first win over Francesco Maestrelli in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-01-19Australian OpenQ3hardFrancesco Maestrelli4-6 6-4 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Lajovic D.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Maestrelli F.

Maestrelli F.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Lajovic D.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
67%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
48%
Service points won·Even
62%
63%
Return points won·Even
39%
38%
Break points saved·Slight edge
56%
63%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.4
6.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.3
3.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (94 vs 95). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
59
56
Break points saved·Clear edge
95
83
Break points won·Clear edge
36
14
Deciding sets·Clear edge
69
83
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
61
80

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.4+121 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.6Clay Elo 1466
5.8Overall Elo 1620
ELO gap
4.2Overall Elo 1538
5.0
H2H
5.0
4.8
Surface form
4.4
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
8.5
Minutes 14d
6.0
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
75
97

Lajovic D.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 30 games (7d) · Maestrelli F.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast