Marketa Vondrousova vs Madison KeysBerlin Round of 32

Berlin · WTA · Round of 32
#132WTA
1907ELO
1791Grass ELO
$33kYTD
$12MCAREER
27 yrs · 173 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLLWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 16 June 2025
grass
#23WTA
1987ELO
1843Grass ELO
$1.1MYTD
$24MCAREER
31 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWL
Vondrousova M.
7-5 7-6
Keys M.
Vondrousova M.
7782
Keys M.
5660

Marketa Vondrousova defeated Madison Keys 7-5 7-6 in the Berlin round of 32 on grass. The upset overturned the form book — Madison Keys came in ranked #23, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Marketa Vondrousova claimed a first win over Madison Keys in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-08-28US OpenQFhardMadison Keys6-1 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Vondrousova M.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Keys M.

Keys M.serving81% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Vondrousova M.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
59%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
43%
47%
Service points won·Even
58%
60%
Return points won·Even
46%
44%
Break points saved·Even
61%
60%
Aces / match·Even
4.8
4.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.8
3.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (29 vs 66). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
88
94
Break points saved·Slight edge
91
96
Break points won·Slight edge
99
90
Deciding sets·Slight edge
89
97
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
85
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.2Grass Elo 1791
Surface ELO
4.8+52 Grass Elo edge
4.3Overall Elo 1907
ELO gap
5.7Overall Elo 1987
5.0
H2H
5.0
7.2
Surface form
7.1
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
7.2
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
7.0
3.0
Surface transition
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
84

Keys M.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 23 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
19°CDrizzle
Wind 21 km/hHumidity 62%