Mccartney Kessler vs Dayana YastremskaNottingham Final

Nottingham · WTA · Final
#46WTA
1808ELO
1693Grass ELO
$545kYTD
$2.4MCAREER
27 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLLLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 16 June 2025
grass
#74WTA
1792ELO
1673Grass ELO
$505kYTD
$6.5MCAREER
26 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWLWWW
Kessler M.
6-4 7-5
Yastremska D.
Kessler M.
672
Yastremska D.
450

Mccartney Kessler defeated Dayana Yastremska 6-4 7-5 in the Nottingham final on grass. The result followed the form book — Mccartney Kessler came in ranked #46, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Mccartney Kessler extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-01-06HobartQFhardMccartney Kessler7-5 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Kessler M.serving79% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Yastremska D.

Yastremska D.serving77% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Kessler M.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
62%
63%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
49%
Service points won·Even
57%
57%
Return points won·Even
45%
44%
Break points saved·Even
55%
56%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.9
3.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.1
5.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (77 vs 76). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
84
77
Break points saved·Even
91
89
Break points won·Even
95
92
Deciding sets·Dominant
94
63
Tiebreaks·Dominant
58
98

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
5.6+20 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.4Grass Elo 1673
5.7Overall Elo 1808
ELO gap
4.3Overall Elo 1792
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.5
Surface form
5.2
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
8.0
Minutes 14d
7.0
3-set count
9.0
Prev. match
Surface transition
3.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
98
97

Kessler M.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Yastremska D.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast