Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Maya JointNottingham Qualifying Round 1

Nottingham · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round 1
#143WTA
1726ELO
1605Grass ELO
32 yrs · 174 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 16 June 2025
grass
#77WTA
1659ELO
1564Grass ELO
$391kYTD
$1.7MCAREER
20 yrs · 167 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLWLWLL
Sasnovich A.
3-6 6-4 6-1
Joint M.
Sasnovich A.
3662
Joint M.
6411

Aliaksandra Sasnovich defeated Maya Joint 3-6 6-4 6-1 in the Nottingham qualifying round 1 on grass. The upset overturned the form book — Maya Joint came in ranked #77, but Aliaksandra Sasnovich had been the form player, winning 2 of their last 4 on grass.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Sasnovich A.serving55% hold

wins 52% of points on serve vs Joint M.

Joint M.serving58% hold

wins 53% of points on serve vs Sasnovich A.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
64%
61%
2nd serve points won·Even
44%
47%
Service points won·Even
57%
56%
Return points won·Even
45%
47%
Break points saved·Slight edge
57%
52%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.0
1.4
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.8
3.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (86 vs 85). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
61
77
Break points saved·Even
79
76
Break points won·Slight edge
93
99
Deciding sets·Slight edge
72
77
Tiebreaks·
25

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
4.7+41 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
5.3Grass Elo 1564
4.9Overall Elo 1726
ELO gap
5.1Overall Elo 1659
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
5.1
Surface form
6.5
Fatigue & Travel
7.0
3-set count
7.0
Surface transition
3.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
100
93

Sasnovich A.: 18 days rest · Joint M.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast