Lorenzo Giustino vs Adolfo Daniel VallejoPoznan CH Round of 16

Poznan CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#196ATP
1420ELO
1355Clay ELO
34 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 16 June 2025
clay
#71ATP
1740ELO
1708Clay ELO
$396kYTD
$653kCAREER
22 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLWLWWW
Giustino L.
6-3 3-6 6-3
Vallejo A.
Giustino L.
6362
Vallejo A.
3631

Lorenzo Giustino defeated Adolfo Daniel Vallejo 6-3 3-6 6-3 in the Poznan CH round of 16 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Adolfo Daniel Vallejo came in ranked #71, but Lorenzo Giustino had been the form player, winning 6 of their last 8 on clay.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Giustino L.serving59% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Vallejo A.

Vallejo A.serving70% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Giustino L.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
60%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
50%
Service points won·Even
60%
61%
Return points won·Even
39%
43%
Break points saved·Even
60%
60%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.5
2.5
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.1
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (60 vs 102). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
2
53
Break points saved·Dominant
41
71
Break points won·Dominant
12
65
Deciding sets·Dominant
12
85
Tiebreaks·Dominant
26
0

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
0.8Clay Elo 1355
Surface ELO
9.2+354 Clay Elo edge
1.2Overall Elo 1420
ELO gap
8.8Overall Elo 1740
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
4.1
Surface form
3.3
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
7.2
9.0
Prev. match
8.0
6.0
Surface transition
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
51
91

Giustino L.: 2 days rest · 5 matches, 120 games (7d) · Vallejo A.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 32 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast