Marin Cilic vs Shintaro MochizukiNottingham 2 CH Final

Nottingham 2 CH · CHALLENGER · Final
#88ATP
1800ELO
1756Grass ELO
$776kYTD
$33MCAREER
37 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWLLLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 16 June 2025
grass
#115ATP
1475ELO
1520Grass ELO
$243kYTD
$1.6MCAREER
23 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWLWW
Cilic M.
6-2 6-3
Mochizuki S.
Cilic M.
662
Mochizuki S.
230

Marin Cilic defeated Shintaro Mochizuki 6-2 6-3 in the Nottingham 2 CH final on grass. The result followed the form book — Marin Cilic came in ranked #88.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Cilic M.serving87% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Mochizuki S.

Mochizuki S.serving84% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Cilic M.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
57%
54%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
78%
68%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
52%
47%
Service points won·Slight edge
67%
59%
Return points won·Slight edge
35%
41%
Break points saved·Clear edge
69%
57%
Aces / match·Dominant
9.3
3.2
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.8
4.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (64 vs 87). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
76
52
Break points saved·Dominant
99
74
Break points won·Clear edge
41
55
Deciding sets·Dominant
94
47
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
87
80

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.2
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.5+237 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.5Grass Elo 1520
8.8Overall Elo 1800
ELO gap
1.2Overall Elo 1475
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
6.7
Surface form
4.5
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
8.3
Minutes 14d
5.8
3-set count
4.0
8.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
100
86

Cilic M.: 15 days rest · Mochizuki S.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast